A Comprehensive Analysis of Potential Revenue and Breakeven Viability of Energy Storage in the Day-Ahead Market of MISO

IF 2.6 4区 工程技术 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS
Muhammad Zubair, Mateus L. de Sousa, Maurício B. C. Salles
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Abstract

This study investigates the economic feasibility of Energy Storage Systems (ESS) in volatile market nodes within the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO). As MISO transitions from a coal-dominant energy mix to a more diverse composition of natural gas and renewables, new arbitrage opportunities for ESS emerge, particularly at nodes like ALTW.SPRVAUN1 and NSP.FRENCH3. Utilizing a linear optimization model with perfect price forecasting, the study estimates the potential arbitrage revenues from these nodes from 2008 to 2014 and then from 2020 to 2022. The sensitivity analysis indicates that current market conditions do not favour immediate profitability for ESS due to high relative battery costs. However, projections up to 2030 reveal a potential shift. With battery costs expected to decrease and electricity price volatility likely to increase due to the growing presence of renewables, the future profitability of ESS appears promising. This is particularly evident in the breakeven analysis, which predicts that NSP.FRENCH3 might reach financial viability before 2030, with ALTW.SPRVAUN1 closely following. Conclusively, the study emphasizes the need for ESS operators to adopt flexible strategies, considering long-term market evolutions. The ongoing shift towards renewable energies in the MISO market suggests an advantageous future for ESS, especially in capitalizing on the forecasted market volatility.

MISO日前市场储能潜在收益与盈亏平衡可行性综合分析
本研究调查了能源存储系统(ESS)在中部大陆独立系统运营商(MISO)波动市场节点的经济可行性。随着MISO从以煤炭为主的能源结构向更多样化的天然气和可再生能源组成转变,ESS出现了新的套利机会,特别是在ALTW这样的节点上。SPRVAUN1和NSP.FRENCH3。利用具有完美价格预测的线性优化模型,研究估算了这些节点从2008年到2014年以及从2020年到2022年的潜在套利收入。敏感性分析表明,由于相对较高的电池成本,目前的市场条件不利于ESS立即盈利。然而,到2030年的预测揭示了一种潜在的转变。由于可再生能源的不断增加,电池成本预计会下降,电价波动可能会增加,ESS未来的盈利能力似乎很有希望。这在盈亏平衡分析中尤其明显,该分析预测了NSP。法国3号可能会在2030年之前实现财务上的生存能力。SPRVAUN1紧随其后。最后,该研究强调了ESS运营商需要采取灵活的战略,考虑到长期的市场演变。MISO市场正在向可再生能源转变,这表明ESS的未来是有利的,特别是在利用预测的市场波动方面。
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来源期刊
IET Renewable Power Generation
IET Renewable Power Generation 工程技术-工程:电子与电气
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
11.50%
发文量
268
审稿时长
6.6 months
期刊介绍: IET Renewable Power Generation (RPG) brings together the topics of renewable energy technology, power generation and systems integration, with techno-economic issues. All renewable energy generation technologies are within the scope of the journal. Specific technology areas covered by the journal include: Wind power technology and systems Photovoltaics Solar thermal power generation Geothermal energy Fuel cells Wave power Marine current energy Biomass conversion and power generation What differentiates RPG from technology specific journals is a concern with power generation and how the characteristics of the different renewable sources affect electrical power conversion, including power electronic design, integration in to power systems, and techno-economic issues. Other technologies that have a direct role in sustainable power generation such as fuel cells and energy storage are also covered, as are system control approaches such as demand side management, which facilitate the integration of renewable sources into power systems, both large and small. The journal provides a forum for the presentation of new research, development and applications of renewable power generation. Demonstrations and experimentally based research are particularly valued, and modelling studies should as far as possible be validated so as to give confidence that the models are representative of real-world behavior. Research that explores issues where the characteristics of the renewable energy source and their control impact on the power conversion is welcome. Papers covering the wider areas of power system control and operation, including scheduling and protection that are central to the challenge of renewable power integration are particularly encouraged. The journal is technology focused covering design, demonstration, modelling and analysis, but papers covering techno-economic issues are also of interest. Papers presenting new modelling and theory are welcome but this must be relevant to real power systems and power generation. Most papers are expected to include significant novelty of approach or application that has general applicability, and where appropriate include experimental results. Critical reviews of relevant topics are also invited and these would be expected to be comprehensive and fully referenced. Current Special Issue. Call for papers: Power Quality and Protection in Renewable Energy Systems and Microgrids - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_PQPRESM.pdf Energy and Rail/Road Transportation Integrated Development - https://digital-library.theiet.org/files/IET_RPG_CFP_ERTID.pdf
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