Network Analysis of Small Ruminant Movements in Uganda: Implications for Control of Transboundary Animal Diseases

IF 3.5 2区 农林科学 Q2 INFECTIOUS DISEASES
Joseph Nkamwesiga, Karla Rascón-García, Paul Lumu, Henry Kiara, Andres Perez, Dennis Muhanguzi, Kristina Roesel
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Abstract

Domestic animals are moved for reasons that are mutually beneficial to the animal and the farmer. Some examples include the need for fresh grazing grounds and watering points, or the need to access livestock markets for income to sustain farmers’ livelihoods. However, livestock mobility is a key risk factor for the transmission of transboundary animal diseases. Contact tracing of individual animals and flocks is very challenging, especially in most low-income countries, due to a lack of efficient livestock traceability systems. Despite these challenges, low-income countries, such as Uganda, issue paper-based animal movement permits (AMPs) to ensure only clinically healthy animals are moved following a physical inspection. In this study, we used national approximately 9 years of (2012–2020) small ruminant movement data obtained from archived AMPs in Uganda to describe small ruminant movement networks. The movement networks were described using social network analysis (SNA) approaches implemented in R software to identify and visualize relationships between individual and groups districts in Uganda. Lira, Kaberamaido, Nabilatuk, Mbarara, Kiruhura, Kampala, and Wakiso were identified as districts with the highest degree (in and out-degree) and betweenness among other centrality measures. Our results suggest these districts could be the most important bridges connecting the various regions of the country. Tailoring control interventions to such districts with high incoming and high outgoing shipments, or bridges, would accelerate the nation’s ability to timely detect outbreaks, prevent or mitigate further spread, and contain diseases in their original foci, respectively. We also identified areas for active surveillance, vaccination, quarantine, and biosecurity measures-staging depending on prevailing circumstances. These findings will be used to guide the national small ruminant infectious diseases control strategies and subsequently contribute to national and global initiatives, such as the 2030 Peste des petits ruminants (PPR) eradication program.

乌干达小反刍动物运动的网络分析:对跨界动物疾病控制的影响
家畜被转移的原因是对动物和农民都有利。一些例子包括需要新的牧场和浇水点,或者需要进入牲畜市场获取收入以维持农民的生计。然而,牲畜的流动性是跨界动物疾病传播的一个关键风险因素。由于缺乏有效的牲畜可追溯系统,个体动物和羊群的接触者追踪非常具有挑战性,特别是在大多数低收入国家。尽管存在这些挑战,乌干达等低收入国家还是发放了纸质动物移动许可证(amp),以确保只有临床健康的动物才能在体检后移动。在这项研究中,我们使用了从乌干达存档的amp中获得的全国大约9年(2012-2020)的小反刍动物运动数据来描述小反刍动物的运动网络。使用R软件中实现的社会网络分析(SNA)方法来描述运动网络,以识别和可视化乌干达个人和群体地区之间的关系。里拉、卡贝拉迈多、纳比拉图克、姆巴拉拉、基鲁胡拉、坎帕拉和瓦基索被确定为其他中心性指标中程度最高(内外度)和介于两者之间的地区。我们的研究结果表明,这些地区可能是连接全国各个地区的最重要的桥梁。针对进出量大的地区(或桥梁)量身定制控制干预措施,将加快国家及时发现疫情、预防或减轻进一步传播的能力,并分别将疾病控制在原疫源地。我们还确定了积极监测、疫苗接种、检疫和生物安全措施的领域,并根据当时的情况进行分期。这些发现将用于指导国家小反刍动物传染病控制战略,并随后为国家和全球倡议做出贡献,例如2030年小反刍动物害虫根除计划。
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来源期刊
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases
Transboundary and Emerging Diseases 农林科学-传染病学
CiteScore
8.90
自引率
9.30%
发文量
350
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Transboundary and Emerging Diseases brings together in one place the latest research on infectious diseases considered to hold the greatest economic threat to animals and humans worldwide. The journal provides a venue for global research on their diagnosis, prevention and management, and for papers on public health, pathogenesis, epidemiology, statistical modeling, diagnostics, biosecurity issues, genomics, vaccine development and rapid communication of new outbreaks. Papers should include timely research approaches using state-of-the-art technologies. The editors encourage papers adopting a science-based approach on socio-economic and environmental factors influencing the management of the bio-security threat posed by these diseases, including risk analysis and disease spread modeling. Preference will be given to communications focusing on novel science-based approaches to controlling transboundary and emerging diseases. The following topics are generally considered out-of-scope, but decisions are made on a case-by-case basis (for example, studies on cryptic wildlife populations, and those on potential species extinctions): Pathogen discovery: a common pathogen newly recognised in a specific country, or a new pathogen or genetic sequence for which there is little context about — or insights regarding — its emergence or spread. Prevalence estimation surveys and risk factor studies based on survey (rather than longitudinal) methodology, except when such studies are unique. Surveys of knowledge, attitudes and practices are within scope. Diagnostic test development if not accompanied by robust sensitivity and specificity estimation from field studies. Studies focused only on laboratory methods in which relevance to disease emergence and spread is not obvious or can not be inferred (“pure research” type studies). Narrative literature reviews which do not generate new knowledge. Systematic and scoping reviews, and meta-analyses are within scope.
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