Nationwide diffusion of China's Transit Metropolis Pilot Program

IF 3.8 3区经济学 Q3 ENERGY & FUELS

Utilities Policy Pub Date : 2025-05-03 DOI:10.1016/j.jup.2025.101958

Pengxiang Ding , Suwei Feng , Dorina Pojani

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

China's Transit Metropolis Pilot (TMP) program is the world's most extensive initiative of its kind. Launched by the national government in 2010, the program has expanded to 117 mainland cities. This study employs a six-pronged policy diffusion framework to investigate the rapid adoption of the TMP nationwide. We analyze data from 280 larger cities between 2010 and 2017 using discrete event history analysis. Our findings indicate that the TMP program has been adopted primarily by cities with large populations, where there is high demand for public transport services and sufficient road space to support the expansion of public transport. The diffusion of the TMP program has been facilitated by contributions from every level of government, including the Ministry of Transport and provincial and prefectural authorities. Horizontal forces, such as intra-provincial competition, have played a role, too. Despite its success, the TMP program's diffusion has faced several local-level constraints, such as inadequate public transport infrastructure, lack of comprehensive Public Transport Development Plans, and weak fiscal capacity. Additionally, cities with a lower administrative status have been less successful in applying for or being selected as TMP cities. Over time, local governments' motivations for adopting the TMP program have evolved, reflecting changing priorities and conditions.

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中国城市中转试点项目的全国推广

中国的都市交通试点（TMP）项目是世界上同类项目中最广泛的。由中央政府于2010年启动，该计划已扩展到117个大陆城市。本研究采用六管齐下的政策扩散框架来调查TMP在全国范围内的快速采用。我们使用离散事件历史分析分析了2010年至2017年间280个大城市的数据。我们的研究结果表明，TMP计划主要在人口众多的城市采用，这些城市对公共交通服务有很高的需求，并且有足够的道路空间来支持公共交通的扩张。各级政府，包括交通运输部和省、地级市当局，都作出了贡献，促进了TMP方案的推广。省内竞争等横向力量也发挥了作用。尽管TMP计划取得了成功，但其推广仍面临一些地方层面的限制，如公共交通基础设施不足、缺乏全面的公共交通发展计划以及财政能力薄弱。此外，行政地位较低的城市申请或被选定为TMP城市的成功率较低。随着时间的推移，地方政府采用TMP计划的动机不断演变，反映出优先事项和条件的变化。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Utilities Policy ENERGY & FUELS-ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

CiteScore

6.80

自引率

10.00%

发文量

审稿时长

66 days

期刊介绍： Utilities Policy is deliberately international, interdisciplinary, and intersectoral. Articles address utility trends and issues in both developed and developing economies. Authors and reviewers come from various disciplines, including economics, political science, sociology, law, finance, accounting, management, and engineering. Areas of focus include the utility and network industries providing essential electricity, natural gas, water and wastewater, solid waste, communications, broadband, postal, and public transportation services. Utilities Policy invites submissions that apply various quantitative and qualitative methods. Contributions are welcome from both established and emerging scholars as well as accomplished practitioners. Interdisciplinary, comparative, and applied works are encouraged. Submissions to the journal should have a clear focus on governance, performance, and/or analysis of public utilities with an aim toward informing the policymaking process and providing recommendations as appropriate. Relevant topics and issues include but are not limited to industry structures and ownership, market design and dynamics, economic development, resource planning, system modeling, accounting and finance, infrastructure investment, supply and demand efficiency, strategic management and productivity, network operations and integration, supply chains, adaptation and flexibility, service-quality standards, benchmarking and metrics, benefit-cost analysis, behavior and incentives, pricing and demand response, economic and environmental regulation, regulatory performance and impact, restructuring and deregulation, and policy institutions.