Commuting departure time choice under stochastic demand: Departure preferences and the value of information

IF 6.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ECONOMICS

Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI:10.1016/j.tra.2025.104476

Xiao Han , Yong Yang , Rui Jiang , Zi-You Gao , H. Michael Zhang

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Abstract

This paper experimentally investigates morning commute behavior under stochastic demand and information provision. To understand the effects of information on departure time choice behavior and how commuters respond to the provided information under stochastic demand, we conducted a laboratory experiment involving two treatments with different amounts of information provided to the subjects. Our experimental results indicated that (I) the departure rates under different demands could be unified as a set of normalized departure rates, (II) feedback information affected departure time choice behavior, and more feedback information might induce worse outcomes (i.e., information paradox), (III) subjects showed heterogeneous departure time preferences, and providing more feedback information might make more subjects choose to depart early, and (IV) a small increase in the number of subjects with early departure preferences could increase traffic congestion under high demand and reduce the efficient use of transport systems. Our experimental studies shed light on the importance and complexity of information provision and departure time preferences on the morning commute traffic patterns and congestion.

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随机需求下的通勤出发时间选择：出发偏好与信息价值

实验研究了随机需求和信息供给条件下的早晨通勤行为。为了了解信息对乘客出发时间选择行为的影响，以及在随机需求条件下，乘客对信息的反应，我们进行了两种不同信息量的实验。我们的实验结果表明：(1)不同需求下的离境率可以统一为一组标准化的离境率；(2)反馈信息影响离境时间选择行为，越多的反馈信息可能导致越差的结果（即信息悖论）；(3)被试表现出异质性的离境时间偏好，提供越多的反馈信息可能使更多的被试选择早离境。(4)在高需求的情况下，有提前出发偏好的受试者数量的小幅增加可能会加剧交通拥堵，降低交通系统的有效利用。我们的实验研究揭示了信息提供和出发时间偏好对早晨通勤交通模式和拥堵的重要性和复杂性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

13.20

自引率

7.80%

发文量

257

审稿时长

9.8 months

期刊介绍： Transportation Research: Part A contains papers of general interest in all passenger and freight transportation modes: policy analysis, formulation and evaluation; planning; interaction with the political, socioeconomic and physical environment; design, management and evaluation of transportation systems. Topics are approached from any discipline or perspective: economics, engineering, sociology, psychology, etc. Case studies, survey and expository papers are included, as are articles which contribute to unification of the field, or to an understanding of the comparative aspects of different systems. Papers which assess the scope for technological innovation within a social or political framework are also published. The journal is international, and places equal emphasis on the problems of industrialized and non-industrialized regions. Part A''s aims and scope are complementary to Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Part C: Emerging Technologies and Part D: Transport and Environment. Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review. Part F: Traffic Psychology and Behaviour. The complete set forms the most cohesive and comprehensive reference of current research in transportation science.