Analysis of the Utilization of Machine Learning to Map Flood Susceptibility

IF 3 3区 环境科学与生态学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES
Ali Pourzangbar, Peter Oberle, Andreas Kron, Mário J. Franca
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Abstract

This article provides an analysis of the utilization of Machine Learning (ML) models in Flood Susceptibility Mapping (FSM), based on selected publications from the past decade (2013–2023). Recognizing the challenge that some stages of ML modeling inherently rely on experience or trial-and-error approaches, this work aims at establishing a clear roadmap for the deployment of ML-based FSM frameworks. The critical aspects of ML-based FSM are identified, including data considerations, the model's development procedure, and employed algorithms. A comparative analysis of different ML models, alongside their practical applications, is made. Findings suggest that despite existing limitations, ML methods, when carefully designed and implemented, can be successfully utilized to determine areas at risk of flooding. We show that the effectiveness of ML-based FSM models is significantly influenced by data preprocessing, feature engineering, and the development of the model using the most impactful parameters, as well as the selection of the appropriate model type and configuration. Additionally, we introduce a structured roadmap for ML-based FSM, identification of overlooked conditioning factors, comparative model analysis, and integration of practical considerations, all aimed at enhancing modeling quality and effectiveness. This comprehensive analysis thereby serves as a critical resource for professionals in the field of FSM.

Abstract Image

利用机器学习绘制洪水易感性的分析
本文基于过去十年(2013-2023)的选定出版物,分析了机器学习(ML)模型在洪水易感性映射(FSM)中的应用。认识到机器学习建模的某些阶段本质上依赖于经验或试错方法的挑战,这项工作旨在为基于机器学习的FSM框架的部署建立一个清晰的路线图。确定了基于ml的FSM的关键方面,包括数据考虑、模型开发过程和所采用的算法。比较分析了不同的机器学习模型及其实际应用。研究结果表明,尽管存在局限性,但经过精心设计和实施的ML方法可以成功地用于确定有洪水风险的地区。我们表明,基于ml的FSM模型的有效性受到数据预处理、特征工程、使用最具影响力的参数开发模型以及选择适当的模型类型和配置的显著影响。此外,我们还介绍了基于ml的FSM的结构化路线图、被忽视的条件因素的识别、比较模型分析和实际考虑的集成,所有这些都旨在提高建模的质量和有效性。因此,这种全面的分析是FSM领域专业人员的重要资源。
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来源期刊
Journal of Flood Risk Management
Journal of Flood Risk Management ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES-WATER RESOURCES
CiteScore
8.40
自引率
7.30%
发文量
93
审稿时长
12 months
期刊介绍: Journal of Flood Risk Management provides an international platform for knowledge sharing in all areas related to flood risk. Its explicit aim is to disseminate ideas across the range of disciplines where flood related research is carried out and it provides content ranging from leading edge academic papers to applied content with the practitioner in mind. Readers and authors come from a wide background and include hydrologists, meteorologists, geographers, geomorphologists, conservationists, civil engineers, social scientists, policy makers, insurers and practitioners. They share an interest in managing the complex interactions between the many skills and disciplines that underpin the management of flood risk across the world.
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