Yu’e Wu , Anran Yin , Yan Zheng , Xinyu Wang , Shuhua Zhang
{"title":"Research on the diffusion of electric vehicles based on dynamic games under the influence of environmental regulations","authors":"Yu’e Wu , Anran Yin , Yan Zheng , Xinyu Wang , Shuhua Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108502","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Environmental regulation policies and market demand are important factors driving the proliferation of electric vehicles. By introducing prospect theory, this study constructs the production decision model of automobile manufacturers based on evolutionary game and networked evolutionary game from both micro and macro perspectives. The results of theoretical and numerical simulation analysis show that: (1) increasing subsidies, carbon taxes, and market demand for electric vehicles are all conducive to the evolution of ‘ideal state’ of making all manufacturers produce electric vehicles; (2) when the mixed environmental regulation is adopted, the diffusion rate of electric vehicles is more obvious. Only when the carbon tax reaches a certain threshold, it can achieve full diffusion; (3) increasing the demand for electric vehicles can significantly promote the diffusion of electric vehicle production strategies among manufacturers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11665,"journal":{"name":"Energy Economics","volume":"146 ","pages":"Article 108502"},"PeriodicalIF":13.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Energy Economics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0140988325003263","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Environmental regulation policies and market demand are important factors driving the proliferation of electric vehicles. By introducing prospect theory, this study constructs the production decision model of automobile manufacturers based on evolutionary game and networked evolutionary game from both micro and macro perspectives. The results of theoretical and numerical simulation analysis show that: (1) increasing subsidies, carbon taxes, and market demand for electric vehicles are all conducive to the evolution of ‘ideal state’ of making all manufacturers produce electric vehicles; (2) when the mixed environmental regulation is adopted, the diffusion rate of electric vehicles is more obvious. Only when the carbon tax reaches a certain threshold, it can achieve full diffusion; (3) increasing the demand for electric vehicles can significantly promote the diffusion of electric vehicle production strategies among manufacturers.
期刊介绍:
Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.