A Dyadic Method to Investigate Voting Behavior in the Council of the European Union

IF 2.4 1区社会学 Q1 INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS

International Studies Quarterly Pub Date : 2025-04-24 DOI:10.1093/isq/sqaf029

Arash Pourebrahimi, Madeleine O Hosli, Jaroslaw Kantorowicz

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Abstract

s Using a dyadic approach to explore voting behavior of European Union (EU) member states in the Council of the EU, we investigate the similarity in voting behavior of governments on three policy dimensions: left-right, authoritarian-libertarian, and pro-/anti EU. These policy dimensions are of interest also in other contexts, such as decision-making in international or regional organizations other than the EU. Our dependent variable is based on a new data collection covering the time 2010–2021. Our analysis, employing random effects binary and ordinal logistic regression applied to relations between EU states, confirms that larger distances of governments represented in the Council on these policy dimensions combined are related to larger distances of their vote choices. Larger distances affecting different vote choices within dyads are also confirmed for the pro-/anti EU policy dimension. Moreover, we find that closeness of member states in terms of their budget positions and of domestic public opinion on the EU are related to voting similarities. Member state differences in terms of voting power, by comparison, lead to less divergence of vote choice, for decisions based on the qualified majority voting rule. The length of EU membership, however, does not affect vote choice similarities.

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研究欧盟理事会投票行为的二元方法

我们使用二元方法来探讨欧盟（EU）成员国在欧盟理事会中的投票行为，研究了政府在三个政策维度上的投票行为的相似性：左右翼、威权自由主义和亲/反欧盟。在其他情况下，例如在欧盟以外的国际或区域组织的决策中，这些政策方面也有兴趣。我们的因变量基于2010-2021年期间的新数据收集。我们的分析采用随机效应、二进制和有序逻辑回归，应用于欧盟国家之间的关系，证实了在理事会中代表的政府在这些政策维度上的距离越大，其投票选择的距离就越大。在支持/反对欧盟的政策维度上，更大的距离也会影响不同的投票选择。此外，我们发现成员国在预算立场和国内公众对欧盟的意见方面的接近程度与投票相似性有关。相比之下，成员国在投票权方面的差异导致投票选择的分歧较小，因为决定基于特定多数投票规则。然而，欧盟成员国的时间长短并不影响投票选择的相似性。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

International Studies Quarterly Multiple-

CiteScore

4.10

自引率

7.70%

发文量

期刊介绍： International Studies Quarterly, the official journal of the International Studies Association, seeks to acquaint a broad audience of readers with the best work being done in the variety of intellectual traditions included under the rubric of international studies. Therefore, the editors welcome all submissions addressing this community"s theoretical, empirical, and normative concerns. First preference will continue to be given to articles that address and contribute to important disciplinary and interdisciplinary questions and controversies.