Kyle A. Mani , Jun Lu , Eric J. Lehrer , Ming Wang , Lauren E. Henke , Richard S. Hoehn , Nicholas G. Zaorsky
{"title":"Epidemiology of carcinomatosis","authors":"Kyle A. Mani , Jun Lu , Eric J. Lehrer , Ming Wang , Lauren E. Henke , Richard S. Hoehn , Nicholas G. Zaorsky","doi":"10.1016/j.canep.2025.102815","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>Carcinomatosis is an advanced form of metastatic cancer, which has been thought to be an invariantly fatal disease. We characterized prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with de-novo carcinomatosis.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>Patients were identified from the SEER database from 1/1/2016–12/31/2020. Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test were used to evaluate OS and a Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).</div><div>We included patients with carcinomatosis across 30 primary sites. The most common primary tumors were colorectal, pancreas, ovary, and lung & bronchus, and stomach.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>Among newly diagnosed cancer patients in SEER, a total of 3131 (59.7 % female, 80.1 % White) patients with carcinomatosis were identified, corresponding to an incidence of 9.0 per 1000,000 persons. Of all patients with metastatic disease, only 0.17 % were diagnosed with carcinomatosis. Compared to patients with de novo metastatic disease without carcinomatosis (i.e., those with metastases limited to the brain, bone, liver, or lung), patients with carcinomatosis were associated with over twice the risk of mortality (aHR = 2.3, 95 % CI: 2.2–2.5). The 1-year OS for patients with carcinomatosis was 35.8 % (95 % CI: 34.0 %–37.7 %). The most common primary sites included: colorectal (14.8 %), pancreas (14.8 %), ovary (9.8 %), and lung & bronchus (8.9 %). Patients with appendiceal (1-year OS: 88.2 %, 95 % CI: 81.8 %–95.1 %) and ovarian (1-year OS: 58.7 %, 95 % CI: 53.0 %–65.0 %) carcinomatosis had markedly longer survival compared to patients with carcinomatosis from other primary sites. Patients who were at highest risk of death are more likely to be older; male; Black; have more advanced T and N categories; and/or have synchronous metastases (<em>P</em> < .001).</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>Carcinomatosis is associated with poorer OS compared to other forms of metastases. Patients with ovarian and appendiceal tumors have markedly longer survival.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":56322,"journal":{"name":"Cancer Epidemiology","volume":"97 ","pages":"Article 102815"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Cancer Epidemiology","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S187778212500075X","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ONCOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background
Carcinomatosis is an advanced form of metastatic cancer, which has been thought to be an invariantly fatal disease. We characterized prognostic factors for overall survival (OS) in patients with de-novo carcinomatosis.
Methods
Patients were identified from the SEER database from 1/1/2016–12/31/2020. Kaplan–Meier method and log-rank test were used to evaluate OS and a Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) with 95 % confidence intervals (CIs).
We included patients with carcinomatosis across 30 primary sites. The most common primary tumors were colorectal, pancreas, ovary, and lung & bronchus, and stomach.
Results
Among newly diagnosed cancer patients in SEER, a total of 3131 (59.7 % female, 80.1 % White) patients with carcinomatosis were identified, corresponding to an incidence of 9.0 per 1000,000 persons. Of all patients with metastatic disease, only 0.17 % were diagnosed with carcinomatosis. Compared to patients with de novo metastatic disease without carcinomatosis (i.e., those with metastases limited to the brain, bone, liver, or lung), patients with carcinomatosis were associated with over twice the risk of mortality (aHR = 2.3, 95 % CI: 2.2–2.5). The 1-year OS for patients with carcinomatosis was 35.8 % (95 % CI: 34.0 %–37.7 %). The most common primary sites included: colorectal (14.8 %), pancreas (14.8 %), ovary (9.8 %), and lung & bronchus (8.9 %). Patients with appendiceal (1-year OS: 88.2 %, 95 % CI: 81.8 %–95.1 %) and ovarian (1-year OS: 58.7 %, 95 % CI: 53.0 %–65.0 %) carcinomatosis had markedly longer survival compared to patients with carcinomatosis from other primary sites. Patients who were at highest risk of death are more likely to be older; male; Black; have more advanced T and N categories; and/or have synchronous metastases (P < .001).
Conclusions
Carcinomatosis is associated with poorer OS compared to other forms of metastases. Patients with ovarian and appendiceal tumors have markedly longer survival.
期刊介绍:
Cancer Epidemiology is dedicated to increasing understanding about cancer causes, prevention and control. The scope of the journal embraces all aspects of cancer epidemiology including:
• Descriptive epidemiology
• Studies of risk factors for disease initiation, development and prognosis
• Screening and early detection
• Prevention and control
• Methodological issues
The journal publishes original research articles (full length and short reports), systematic reviews and meta-analyses, editorials, commentaries and letters to the editor commenting on previously published research.