Island economies in the wake: Assessing increased shipping cost effects from carbon taxes on maritime trade

IF 11.2 1区环境科学与生态学 Q1 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL

Resources Conservation and Recycling Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI:10.1016/j.resconrec.2025.108325

Zhaojun Wang , Amanda M. Countryman

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Abstract

This work investigates economic and equity effects of increased transport costs from potential carbon taxes on the shipping industry under the 2023 IMO net-zero emission strategy. Five policy scenarios are examined with different geographical scopes and levy rates, including exemptions for Small Island Developing States (SIDS) and Least Developed Countries (LDCs). Results show all countries except Bahrain have simulated negative impacts on welfare, GDP, and exports under global uniform carbon tax policies. The LDCs and SIDS most negatively affected are in Oceania and Africa, as well as Togo and Jamaica, which are more severely affected than relatively large economies. Sectoral effects are largest for agriculture and energy. The EU could lessen welfare losses through its Emissions Trading System compared to a global bunker levy. Exempting SIDS and LDCs from the bunker levy results in their increased GDP and welfare, which can protect vulnerable economies during the transition to decarbonized shipping.

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紧随其后的岛屿经济体：评估碳税对海上贸易增加的航运成本影响

本研究调查了2023年国际海事组织净零排放战略下潜在碳税对航运业运输成本增加的经济和公平影响。以不同的地理范围和征税率审查了五种政策方案，包括小岛屿发展中国家和最不发达国家的豁免。结果表明，除巴林外，所有国家都模拟了全球统一碳税政策对福利、GDP和出口的负面影响。受到最不利影响的最不发达国家和小岛屿发展中国家是大洋洲和非洲，以及多哥和牙买加，它们比相对较大的经济体受到更严重的影响。受影响最大的行业是农业和能源。与全球燃料税相比，欧盟可以通过其排放交易体系减少福利损失。免除小岛屿发展中国家和最不发达国家的燃料税导致其国内生产总值和福利的增加，这可以在向脱碳航运过渡期间保护脆弱的经济。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Resources Conservation and Recycling 环境科学-工程：环境

CiteScore

22.90

自引率

6.10%

发文量

625

审稿时长

23 days

期刊介绍： The journal Resources, Conservation & Recycling welcomes contributions from research, which consider sustainable management and conservation of resources. The journal prioritizes understanding the transformation processes crucial for transitioning toward more sustainable production and consumption systems. It highlights technological, economic, institutional, and policy aspects related to specific resource management practices such as conservation, recycling, and resource substitution, as well as broader strategies like improving resource productivity and restructuring production and consumption patterns. Contributions may address regional, national, or international scales and can range from individual resources or technologies to entire sectors or systems. Authors are encouraged to explore scientific and methodological issues alongside practical, environmental, and economic implications. However, manuscripts focusing solely on laboratory experiments without discussing their broader implications will not be considered for publication in the journal.