{"title":"Association between airway mucus plugs and risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations in COPD patients:results from a Chinese prospective cohort study.","authors":"Xueping Li,Shengchuan Feng,Yuqiong Yang,Zhenyu Liang,Aiqi Song,Jiawei Chen,Zijun Guo,Zizheng Chen,Chengyu Miao,Huajing Yang,Wenqiang He,Zifei Zhou,M Brad Drummond,Rongchang Chen,Fengyan Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.chest.2025.03.026","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"BACKGROUND\r\nAirway mucus plugs are frequently identified on computed tomography (CT) scans of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and are associated with worse airflow obstruction and higher mortality. However, the association between airway mucus plugs and the risk of acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) has not been extensively studied.\r\n\r\nRESEARCH QUESTION\r\nAre airway mucus plugs associated with the risk of future moderate-to-severe AECOPD?\r\n\r\nSTUDY DESIGN AND METHODS\r\nIn this prospective cohort study, we identified airway mucus plugs on CT scans of COPD patients. Mucus plugs were scored from 0 to 18 based on the number of pulmonary segments affected and categorized into three groups (0, 1-3, and ≥4). Patients were followed for two years. Negative binomial regression and Cox regression were used to model the association between airway mucus plugs and moderate-to-severe AECOPD, adjusting for potential confounders.\r\n\r\nRESULTS\r\nAmong the 194 COPD patients, 22%, 35%, and 43% had mucus plugs in 0, 1-3, and ≥4 pulmonary segments, respectively. During the following year, 30% of patients experienced at least one moderate-to-severe AECOPD, with the incidence 12%, 25%, and 44% for patients with 0, 1-3, and ≥4 pulmonary segments with mucus plugs, respectively. In negative binomial regression, each 1-point increase in airway mucus plug score was associated with an 8.3% higher risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations(RR[95% CI], 1.08[1.01-1.16], p=0.028). In multivariate Cox regression, mucus plugs in ≥4 versus 0 and ≥4 versus 1-3 pulmonary segments were associated with hazard ratios of moderate-to-severe exacerbation of 5.02(95% CI, 1.84-13.75, p=0.002) and 2.32(95% CI, 1.25-4.33, p=0.008), respectively. Consistent results were observed in the subset of patients completing the two-year follow-up (n=150).\r\n\r\nINTERPRETATION\r\nIn COPD patients, airway mucus plugs are associated with increased future risk of subsequent moderate-to-severe AECOPD.\r\n\r\nTRIAL REGISTRATION\r\nRegistered with the International Clinical Trials Registry (NCT03240315, 2017-07-3).","PeriodicalId":9782,"journal":{"name":"Chest","volume":"37 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":9.5000,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Chest","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chest.2025.03.026","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"CRITICAL CARE MEDICINE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Airway mucus plugs are frequently identified on computed tomography (CT) scans of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and are associated with worse airflow obstruction and higher mortality. However, the association between airway mucus plugs and the risk of acute exacerbation of COPD (AECOPD) has not been extensively studied.
RESEARCH QUESTION
Are airway mucus plugs associated with the risk of future moderate-to-severe AECOPD?
STUDY DESIGN AND METHODS
In this prospective cohort study, we identified airway mucus plugs on CT scans of COPD patients. Mucus plugs were scored from 0 to 18 based on the number of pulmonary segments affected and categorized into three groups (0, 1-3, and ≥4). Patients were followed for two years. Negative binomial regression and Cox regression were used to model the association between airway mucus plugs and moderate-to-severe AECOPD, adjusting for potential confounders.
RESULTS
Among the 194 COPD patients, 22%, 35%, and 43% had mucus plugs in 0, 1-3, and ≥4 pulmonary segments, respectively. During the following year, 30% of patients experienced at least one moderate-to-severe AECOPD, with the incidence 12%, 25%, and 44% for patients with 0, 1-3, and ≥4 pulmonary segments with mucus plugs, respectively. In negative binomial regression, each 1-point increase in airway mucus plug score was associated with an 8.3% higher risk of moderate-to-severe exacerbations(RR[95% CI], 1.08[1.01-1.16], p=0.028). In multivariate Cox regression, mucus plugs in ≥4 versus 0 and ≥4 versus 1-3 pulmonary segments were associated with hazard ratios of moderate-to-severe exacerbation of 5.02(95% CI, 1.84-13.75, p=0.002) and 2.32(95% CI, 1.25-4.33, p=0.008), respectively. Consistent results were observed in the subset of patients completing the two-year follow-up (n=150).
INTERPRETATION
In COPD patients, airway mucus plugs are associated with increased future risk of subsequent moderate-to-severe AECOPD.
TRIAL REGISTRATION
Registered with the International Clinical Trials Registry (NCT03240315, 2017-07-3).
期刊介绍:
At CHEST, our mission is to revolutionize patient care through the collaboration of multidisciplinary clinicians in the fields of pulmonary, critical care, and sleep medicine. We achieve this by publishing cutting-edge clinical research that addresses current challenges and brings forth future advancements. To enhance understanding in a rapidly evolving field, CHEST also features review articles, commentaries, and facilitates discussions on emerging controversies. We place great emphasis on scientific rigor, employing a rigorous peer review process, and ensuring all accepted content is published online within two weeks.