Conservation agriculture for closing maize yield gap and enhancing climate resilience in semi-arid Eastern Rwanda

Petronille Dusingizimana , Krishna Prasad Devkota , Mamadou Cherif , Athanase Nduwumuremyi
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Abstract

In Rwanda, maize is a crucial staple crop, serving as a primary food source for both smallholder and commercial farmers. However, national maize yields (1.52 ​t ​ha−1) remain significantly lower than the global (5.88 ​t ​ha−1) and African (2.27 ​t ​ha−1) averages, posing a challenge to food security and economic growth. Key constraints include limited input use, suboptimal agronomic practices, and climate change. Conservation Agriculture (CA) has been promoted as a climate-smart approach to enhance productivity and sustainability in Rwanda. This study evaluates the agronomic and economic performance of CA compared to conventional tillage (CT) using survey data from 222 farms in the Kirehe district. Results show that CA farmers incurred higher total production costs (p ​< ​0.001), particularly for fertilizers, seeds, weeding, and irrigation, while CT farmers had significantly higher land preparation costs (p ​< ​0.001). Despite these cost differences, CA farmers achieved 40 ​% higher net profitability, 20 ​% higher maize yields, and 10 ​% greater phosphorus use efficiency than CT farmers. A Random Forest model identified experience in CA, irrigation frequency, seed rate, and nitrogen and phosphorus fertilizer application as key determinants of maize yield, with variations between CA and CT systems. Overall, CA significantly improved maize productivity and profitability despite higher initial costs, highlighting its potential as a sustainable intensification strategy for maize production in Rwanda and similar agro-climatic regions in East Africa.

Abstract Image

在半干旱的卢旺达东部开展保护性农业,缩小玉米产量差距,增强气候适应能力
在卢旺达,玉米是一种重要的主粮作物,是小农和商业农民的主要食物来源。然而,国家玉米产量(1.52 t hm2)仍显著低于全球(5.88 t hm2)和非洲(2.27 t hm2)的平均水平,对粮食安全和经济增长构成挑战。主要制约因素包括有限的投入物使用、次优农艺做法和气候变化。保护农业(CA)作为一种气候智能型方法在卢旺达得到推广,以提高生产力和可持续性。本研究利用Kirehe地区222个农场的调查数据,评估了CA与传统耕作(CT)相比的农艺和经济效益。结果表明,CA农户的总生产成本较高(p <;0.001),特别是在化肥、种子、除草和灌溉方面,而CT农民的土地准备成本明显更高(p <;0.001)。尽管存在这些成本差异,但与CT农民相比,CA农民的净盈利能力提高了40%,玉米产量提高了20%,磷利用效率提高了10%。随机森林模型确定了CA、灌溉频率、播种率和氮磷肥施用是玉米产量的关键决定因素,并且CA和CT系统之间存在差异。总体而言,尽管初始成本较高,但CA显著提高了玉米生产力和盈利能力,突出了其作为卢旺达和东非类似农业气候地区玉米生产可持续集约化战略的潜力。
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