Second-order regular variation and second-order approximation of Hawkes processes

Abstract

This paper provides and extends second-order versions of several fundamental theorems on first-order regularly varying functions such as Karamata's theorem/representation and Tauberian's theorem. Our results are used to establish second-order approximations for the mean and variance of Hawkes processes with general kernels. Our approximations provide novel insights into the asymptotic behavior of Hawkes processes. They are also of key importance when establishing functional limit theorems for Hawkes processes.