Diffusion of low-carbon shipping along the 21st century maritime silk road: From complex network perspective

IF 5.4 2区环境科学与生态学 Q1 OCEANOGRAPHY

Ocean & Coastal Management Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI:10.1016/j.ocecoaman.2025.107662

Jun Ye , Xu Huang , Weijie Chen

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study applies networked evolutionary game model to model the strategic interactions among shipping enterprises, governments, the public, and international environmental non-governmental organizations. It systematically analyzes the decision-making process and evolutionary mechanisms of different stakeholders in promoting low-carbon shipping. First, this study establishes an evolutionary game model to explore how hard factors (government subsidies, market prices etc.) and soft factors (environmental awareness, social supervision, public interest litigation etc.) jointly influence the diffusion of low-carbon shipping. Second, it constructs the container shipping network along the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road using AIS shipping data and applies the WS small-world network model to simulate how network topology affects the diffusion process. The findings show that the widespread adoption of low-carbon shipping requires multi-stakeholder collaboration. A combination of policy incentives, market regulation, and social supervision is essential to ensure both economic and social benefits, thereby promoting effective diffusion. Additionally, the network structure of shipping routes significantly impacts diffusion outcomes. Therefore, policy design should consider industry characteristics and adopt targeted regulatory measures to optimize the diffusion strategy. This study aims to explore effective pathways for promoting low-carbon shipping along the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road. It provides theoretical support and policy recommendations for the green and low-carbon transition of the global shipping industry.

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21世纪海上丝绸之路低碳航运的扩散：基于复杂网络的视角

本研究运用网络化演化博弈模型来模拟航运企业、政府、公众和国际非政府环保组织之间的战略互动。它系统分析了不同利益相关者在推动低碳航运过程中的决策过程和演化机制。首先，本研究建立了一个演化博弈模型，探讨硬因素（政府补贴、市场价格等）和软因素（环保意识、社会监督、公益诉讼等）如何共同影响低碳航运的推广。其次，利用 AIS 航运数据构建了 21 世纪海上丝绸之路沿线的集装箱航运网络，并应用 WS 小世界网络模型模拟了网络拓扑结构如何影响低碳航运的扩散过程。研究结果表明，低碳航运的广泛采用需要多方利益相关者的合作。政策激励、市场调节和社会监督相结合才能确保经济和社会效益，从而促进有效推广。此外，航运路线的网络结构也会对推广结果产生重大影响。因此，政策设计应考虑行业特点，采取有针对性的监管措施，优化推广策略。本研究旨在探索在 21 世纪海上丝绸之路沿线推广低碳航运的有效路径。它为全球航运业的绿色低碳转型提供了理论支持和政策建议。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Ocean & Coastal Management 环境科学-海洋学

CiteScore

8.50

自引率

15.20%

发文量

321

审稿时长

60 days

期刊介绍： Ocean & Coastal Management is the leading international journal dedicated to the study of all aspects of ocean and coastal management from the global to local levels. We publish rigorously peer-reviewed manuscripts from all disciplines, and inter-/trans-disciplinary and co-designed research, but all submissions must make clear the relevance to management and/or governance issues relevant to the sustainable development and conservation of oceans and coasts. Comparative studies (from sub-national to trans-national cases, and other management / policy arenas) are encouraged, as are studies that critically assess current management practices and governance approaches. Submissions involving robust analysis, development of theory, and improvement of management practice are especially welcome.