The Impacts of US State-Level Economic Policy Uncertainty on US State-Level Income Distribution: Asymmetric Approach

IF 0.8 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS
Ismet Gocer, Serdar Ongan, Huseyin Karamelikli
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

This study aims to expand Bahmani-Oskooee and Hasanzade's research examining the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) on income inequality in the US states. Our study differs from theirs as we use a newly calculated US state-level EPU index, whereas they used the US country-level EPU index in their previous work. While the linear ARDL model finds that the EPU has short-run effects on GINI in 15 US states, the nonlinear model finds it in 22 US states. Similarly, while the nonlinear model finds that EPU has a long-run impact on GINI in five US states, the linear model finds it only in one US state. However, when the CSD is allowed, the linear model finds that EPU impacts GINI in five US states in the long run. While our study finds that decreased uncertainty worsens income inequalities in Texas and Washington, Bahmani-Oskooee and Hasanzade find that uncertainty does not have long-run effects in these US states. Similarly, while we find that increased uncertainty improves inequality in Virginia, they also find worsening effects in this US state. Empirical findings reveal that state-level analysis discovers some hidden impacts of the EPU on GINI that we could not find in country-level analysis.

美国州级经济政策不确定性对美国州级收入分配的影响:非对称方法
本研究旨在扩展Bahmani-Oskooee和Hasanzade对美国各州经济政策不确定性(EPU)对收入不平等影响的研究。我们的研究与他们的研究不同,因为我们使用了新计算的美国州级EPU指数,而他们在之前的工作中使用了美国国家级EPU指数。线性ARDL模型发现,EPU对美国15个州的GINI有短期影响,而非线性模型发现,EPU对美国22个州有短期影响。同样,虽然非线性模型发现EPU对美国五个州的GINI有长期影响,但线性模型发现它只对美国一个州有长期影响。然而,当允许CSD时,线性模型发现EPU对美国五个州的GINI有长期影响。虽然我们的研究发现,不确定性的减少加剧了德克萨斯州和华盛顿州的收入不平等,但巴赫马尼-奥斯库伊和哈桑扎德发现,不确定性在这些美国州没有长期影响。同样,虽然我们发现不确定性的增加改善了弗吉尼亚州的不平等,但他们也发现,美国这个州的不平等现象正在恶化。实证结果表明,国家层面的分析发现了EPU对基尼系数的一些隐性影响,而国家层面的分析没有发现这些影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.40
自引率
0.00%
发文量
56
期刊介绍: The Bulletin of Economic Research is an international journal publishing articles across the entire field of economics, econometrics and economic history. The Bulletin contains original theoretical, applied and empirical work which makes a substantial contribution to the subject and is of broad interest to economists. We welcome submissions in all fields and, with the Bulletin expanding in new areas, we particularly encourage submissions in the fields of experimental economics, financial econometrics and health economics. In addition to full-length articles the Bulletin publishes refereed shorter articles, notes and comments; authoritative survey articles in all areas of economics and special themed issues.
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