Temporal and Spatial Trends of CO2 Emissions and the Emission Reduction Paths of Countries along the Silk Road Economic Belt from 1960 to 2060

IF 6.2 Q2 ENERGY & FUELS
Wen Li, Qiting Zuo, Jiahang Guo, Long Jiang, Zhizhuo Zhang
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Abstract

Reducing CO2 emissions is essential for sustainable development but faces challenges like politics, resources, technology, markets, and energy structure. This study uses UN and World Bank data from 1960 to 2020 to analyze CO2 emissions trends and factors in 50 belt and road (B&R) countries. Methods include fitting techniques, decoupling theory, and spatial autocorrelation analysis. The data are assessed using fitting methods, decoupling theory, and spatial autocorrelation analysis. The CO2 emissions of countries in southeast and central Asia show a fluctuating upward trend, whereas a slow downward trend is shown in eastern and southern Europe. The epicenter of CO2 emissions in B&R began to shift to the southeast in the 1990s, but it has remained consistently in the northwest of B&R geometric center. Key B&R emission factors are population density, urban population, and hydroelectric power. To reduce B&R emissions, three recommendations are proposed: 1) to establish a B&R alliance and promote the development of low-carbon industries in B&R; 2) to realize coordinated development of the upstream and downstream communities in the B&R industrial chain; and 3) countries in the B&R region shall foster the development and utilization of clean energy while focusing on stable economic development.

Abstract Image

1960 - 2060年丝绸之路经济带沿线国家CO2排放时空趋势及减排路径
减少二氧化碳排放对可持续发展至关重要,但也面临着政治、资源、技术、市场和能源结构等方面的挑战。本研究使用联合国和世界银行1960年至2020年的数据,分析了50个“一带一路”国家的二氧化碳排放趋势和影响因素。方法包括拟合技术、解耦理论和空间自相关分析。使用拟合方法、解耦理论和空间自相关分析对数据进行评估。东南亚和中亚国家的二氧化碳排放量呈波动上升趋势,而东欧和南欧国家则呈缓慢下降趋势。20世纪90年代,B&;R的二氧化碳排放中心开始向东南方向转移,但一直保持在B&;R几何中心的西北部。主要的B&;R排放因子是人口密度、城市人口和水力发电。为了减少B&;R的排放,提出了三点建议:1)建立B&;R联盟,促进B&;R低碳产业的发展;2)实现B&;R产业链上下游社区协同发展;3)在注重经济稳定发展的同时,促进清洁能源的开发利用。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.20
自引率
3.40%
发文量
0
期刊介绍: Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research is an open access academic journal that focuses on publishing high-quality peer-reviewed research articles in the areas of energy harvesting, conversion, storage, distribution, applications, ecology, climate change, water and environmental sciences, and related societal impacts. The journal provides readers with free access to influential scientific research that has undergone rigorous peer review, a common feature of all journals in the Advanced series. In addition to original research articles, the journal publishes opinion, editorial and review articles designed to meet the needs of a broad readership interested in energy and sustainability science and related fields. In addition, Advanced Energy and Sustainability Research is indexed in several abstracting and indexing services, including: CAS: Chemical Abstracts Service (ACS) Directory of Open Access Journals (DOAJ) Emerging Sources Citation Index (Clarivate Analytics) INSPEC (IET) Web of Science (Clarivate Analytics).
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