Analysis of regional energy efficiency and prospects for sustainable development of the energy sector in China

Alla V. Vavilina , Anna V. Loseva , Anna A. Firsova
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Abstract

Since 2022, the geopolitical situation on a global scale has been making its adjustments and changes to the pricing and structure of the energy supply system, forcing countries to adjust the structure of their energy industry, re-examine foreign trade flows of energy products, and develop solutions regarding the level of energy consumption in enterprise sectors and households. This issue is particularly acute for China, as a country with a rapidly developing economy and high energy consumption needs. However, in addition to external factors, China also faces internal challenges for the energy sector. These factors include, for example, interregional imbalance in domestic production and energy consumption, the need for maximum decarbonization of the energy industry and transition to green and low-carbon energy, and its high-quality development. The significance of such internal factors is confirmed by the recent energy crisis in China, which manifested itself sharply in 2021. In this article, we analyze the internal energy problems of China, primarily in the context of interregional imbalances that have been emerging during the period 2000–2021. Our general purpose is to conduct an analysis and identify the primary causes of the energy shortage in the Chinese economy as well as the regional disparities in its distribution. The following tasks have been solved: the evolution of the situation regarding electricity shortages in China between 2000 and 2020 have been investigated; the primary causes of the electricity shortage in China have been identified; the regional disparities in energy consumption, energy production, and the level of energy deficit in China's provinces have been assessed. As a final summary, the ways to overcome difficulties and improve the quality and stability of the Chinese energy sector have been analyzed as well as the main trends in the development of the energy sector of China after the 2021 energy deficit crisis have been identified. We used qualitative and quantitative analysis methods as research tools. Based on the qualitative analysis using logical generalization and systematization methods, we analyze ways to overcome difficulties and improve the quality and stability of China's energy industry, and identify the main trends in the development of China's energy industry that have taken place since the 2021 energy shortage crisis. Concurrently we propose an analytical approach consisting of a comprehensive assessment of the cross-provincial structure for key aspects of the country's energy system: energy production, processing and consumption. We assess structural changes in these parameters caused by both regional characteristics of the provinces and changes occurring in the Chinese economy. To achieve this task, we use a specific tool – the Salai index. The calculation results allowed us to identify key patterns in the production and consumption of coal-based electricity, which provides additional information for regulating this energy sector in the context of the decarbonization process of China's energy system.

Abstract Image

区域能源效率分析与中国能源领域可持续发展展望
2022年以来,全球地缘政治形势不断调整和改变能源供应体系的价格和结构,迫使各国调整能源产业结构,重新审视能源产品的对外贸易流动,制定企业和家庭能源消费水平的解决方案。对于中国这样一个经济快速发展、能源消费需求旺盛的国家来说,这个问题尤为突出。然而,除了外部因素,中国在能源领域也面临着内部挑战。这些因素包括,例如,国内生产和能源消费的区域间不平衡,能源工业最大限度地脱碳和向绿色低碳能源转型的需要,以及其高质量发展。这种内在因素的重要性在中国近期的能源危机中得到了证实,这种危机在2021年表现得尤为明显。在本文中,我们分析了中国的内部能源问题,主要是在2000年至2021年期间出现的区域间失衡的背景下。我们的总体目的是分析和确定中国经济中能源短缺的主要原因以及其分布的地区差异。完成了以下任务:调查了2000 - 2020年中国电力短缺情况的演变;中国电力短缺的主要原因已经确定;评估了中国各省在能源消费、能源生产和能源短缺水平方面的区域差异。作为最后的总结,分析了中国能源部门克服困难,提高质量和稳定性的途径,并确定了2021年能源短缺危机后中国能源部门发展的主要趋势。我们使用定性和定量分析方法作为研究工具。在定性分析的基础上,运用逻辑概括和系统化的方法,分析了中国能源工业克服困难、提高质量和稳定性的途径,并确定了自2021年能源短缺危机以来中国能源工业发展的主要趋势。同时,我们提出了一种分析方法,包括对国家能源系统关键方面的跨省结构进行全面评估:能源生产、加工和消费。我们评估了这些参数的结构性变化,这些变化是由各省的区域特征和中国经济发生的变化引起的。为了完成这项任务,我们使用了一个特定的工具——Salai索引。计算结果使我们能够确定煤基电力生产和消费的关键模式,这为在中国能源系统脱碳过程的背景下调节这一能源部门提供了额外的信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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