Examining the hidden effects of democracy and natural sources on ecological footprint in South Africa: Fourier NARDL approach

IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Umut Uzar , Kemal Eyuboglu
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Despite a significant body of literature examining the drivers of environmental degradation, non-traditional political and economic factors have not been thoroughly investigated. In this context, there remains a gap in the literature regarding the asymmetric effects of less-studied factors such as democracy and natural resources. The key research question addressed by this study is: How do democracy and natural resources, as political and economic factors, impact the ecological footprint in South Africa? To answer this question, this study investigates the potential hidden impacts of democracy and natural resources on the ecological footprint in South Africa for the period 1970–2021 using the Fourier Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (FNARDL) model. This study thus positions itself as a pioneering work in examining the determinants of ecological pressure using the FNARDL method. While findings from the ARDL model indicate that these factors are statistically insignificant, the FNARDL model reveals that democracy and natural resources significantly reduce the ecological footprint under structural breaks. Furthermore, it has been found that economic growth, urbanization, and energy consumption positively impact the ecological footprint. These findings help inform policy by clarifying the complex links between politics, economics, and environmental sustainability in South Africa.
考察民主和自然资源对南非生态足迹的隐性影响:傅立叶NARDL方法
尽管大量文献研究了环境退化的驱动因素,但非传统的政治和经济因素尚未得到彻底调查。在这种情况下,关于研究较少的因素(如民主和自然资源)的不对称效应,文献中仍然存在空白。本研究解决的关键研究问题是:民主和自然资源作为政治和经济因素如何影响南非的生态足迹?为了回答这个问题,本研究使用傅立叶非线性自回归分布滞后(FNARDL)模型调查了民主和自然资源对南非1970-2021年期间生态足迹的潜在隐藏影响。因此,这项研究将自己定位为使用FNARDL方法检查生态压力决定因素的开创性工作。虽然ARDL模型的结果表明这些因素在统计上不显著,但FNARDL模型显示民主和自然资源显著减少了结构性断裂下的生态足迹。此外,经济增长、城市化和能源消耗对生态足迹有正向影响。这些发现通过阐明南非政治、经济和环境可持续性之间的复杂联系,有助于为政策提供信息。
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来源期刊
Resources Policy
Resources Policy ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
13.40
自引率
23.50%
发文量
602
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Resources Policy is an international journal focused on the economics and policy aspects of mineral and fossil fuel extraction, production, and utilization. It targets individuals in academia, government, and industry. The journal seeks original research submissions analyzing public policy, economics, social science, geography, and finance in the fields of mining, non-fuel minerals, energy minerals, fossil fuels, and metals. Mineral economics topics covered include mineral market analysis, price analysis, project evaluation, mining and sustainable development, mineral resource rents, resource curse, mineral wealth and corruption, mineral taxation and regulation, strategic minerals and their supply, and the impact of mineral development on local communities and indigenous populations. The journal specifically excludes papers with agriculture, forestry, or fisheries as their primary focus.
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