Comparison of 46 Cytokines in Peripheral Blood Between Patients with Papillary Thyroid Cancer and Healthy Individuals with AI-Driven Analysis to Distinguish Between the Two Groups.

Abstract

Background: Recent studies have analyzed some cytokines in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC), but simultaneous analysis of multiple cytokines remains rare. Nonetheless, the simultaneous assessment of multiple cytokines is increasingly recognized as crucial for understanding the cytokine characteristics and developmental mechanisms in PTC. In addition, studies applying artificial intelligence (AI) to discriminate patients with PTC based on serum multiple cytokine data have been performed rarely. Here, we measured and compared 46 cytokines in patients with PTC and healthy individuals, applying AI algorithms to classify the two groups. Methods: Blood serum was isolated from 63 patients with PTC and 63 control individuals. Forty-six cytokines were analyzed simultaneously using Luminex assay Human XL Cytokine Panel. Several laboratory findings were identified from electronic medical records. Student's t-test or the Mann-Whitney U test were performed to analyze the difference between the two groups. As AI classification algorithms to categorize patients with PTC, K-nearest neighbor function, Naïve Bayes classifier, logistic regression, support vector machine, and eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) were employed. The SHAP analysis assessed how individual parameters influence the classification of patients with PTC. Results: Cytokine levels, including GM-CSF, IFN-γ, IL-1ra, IL-7, IL-10, IL-12p40, IL-15, CCL20/MIP-α, CCL5/RANTES, and TNF-α, were significantly higher in PTC than in controls. Conversely, CD40 Ligand, EGF, IL-1β, PDGF-AA, and TGF-α exhibited significantly lower concentrations in PTC compared to controls. Among the five classification algorithms evaluated, XGBoost demonstrated superior performance in terms of accuracy, precision, sensitivity (recall), specificity, F1-score, and ROC-AUC score. Notably, EGF and IL-10 were identified as critical cytokines that significantly contributed to the differentiation of patients with PTC. Conclusions: A total of 5 cytokines showed lower levels in the PTC group than in the control, while 10 cytokines showed higher levels. While XGBoost demonstrated the best performance in discriminating between the PTC group and the control group, EGF and IL-10 were considered to be closely associated with PTC.