{"title":"Exploiting mixed-frequency characteristics in parametric Mean-Expected Shortfall portfolio selection","authors":"Shuting Liu , Sicheng Zhang , Yun Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.econmod.2025.107072","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we investigate the role of mixed-frequency characteristics in portfolio selection. We introduce a novel parametric Mean-Expected Shortfall model which establishes direct linkages between portfolio weights and mixed-frequency characteristics. The model solution is converted into a penalized MIDAS expectile regression problem, which not only reduces computational costs, but also identifies the crucial characteristics. An empirical analysis of the CSI 300 index reveals that incorporating mixed-frequency characteristics significantly enhances portfolio performance. The proposed method consistently outperforms other competing models by delivering substantially lower risk and markedly higher risk-adjusted returns. Further coefficient analysis highlights crucial characteristics exerting significant impacts on portfolio weights. Specifically, accumulation distribution and market value demonstrate positive influences, while moving averages, relative strength index, liquidity, and book-to-market ratio exhibit negative impacts. These findings provide investors with valuable tool for asset allocation, enhancing interpretability and reliability in complex data environments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48419,"journal":{"name":"Economic Modelling","volume":"148 ","pages":"Article 107072"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economic Modelling","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999325000677","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
In this paper, we investigate the role of mixed-frequency characteristics in portfolio selection. We introduce a novel parametric Mean-Expected Shortfall model which establishes direct linkages between portfolio weights and mixed-frequency characteristics. The model solution is converted into a penalized MIDAS expectile regression problem, which not only reduces computational costs, but also identifies the crucial characteristics. An empirical analysis of the CSI 300 index reveals that incorporating mixed-frequency characteristics significantly enhances portfolio performance. The proposed method consistently outperforms other competing models by delivering substantially lower risk and markedly higher risk-adjusted returns. Further coefficient analysis highlights crucial characteristics exerting significant impacts on portfolio weights. Specifically, accumulation distribution and market value demonstrate positive influences, while moving averages, relative strength index, liquidity, and book-to-market ratio exhibit negative impacts. These findings provide investors with valuable tool for asset allocation, enhancing interpretability and reliability in complex data environments.
期刊介绍:
Economic Modelling fills a major gap in the economics literature, providing a single source of both theoretical and applied papers on economic modelling. The journal prime objective is to provide an international review of the state-of-the-art in economic modelling. Economic Modelling publishes the complete versions of many large-scale models of industrially advanced economies which have been developed for policy analysis. Examples are the Bank of England Model and the US Federal Reserve Board Model which had hitherto been unpublished. As individual models are revised and updated, the journal publishes subsequent papers dealing with these revisions, so keeping its readers as up to date as possible.