Artificial intelligence-based multimodal prediction for nuclear grading status and prognosis of clear cell renal cell carcinoma: a multicenter cohort study.

Abstract

Background: The assessment of the International Society of Urological Pathology (ISUP) nuclear grade is crucial for the management and treatment of clear cell renal cell carcinoma (ccRCC). This study aimed to explore the value of using integrated multimodal information for ISUP grading and prognostic stratification in ccRCC patients, to guide postoperative adjuvant therapy.

Methods: This retrospective study analyzed a total of 729 patients from three cohorts, utilizing whole slide images and computed tomography (CT) images. Artificial intelligence algorithms were used to extract morphological and textural features from whole slide images and CT images separately, creating single-modality predictive models for ISUP grading. By combining the CT and pathology single-modality predictive features, a multimodal predictive signature (MPS) was developed. The prognostic performance of the MPS model was further validated in two independent cohorts.

Results: The single-modality predictive models for CT and pathology performed well in predicting ISUP grade for ccRCC. The MPS model achieved higher area under the curve values of 0.95, 0.93, and 0.95 across three independent patient cohorts. Additionally, the MPS model was able to distinguish patients with poorer overall survival. In the external validation cohort, uni- and multivariate analyses showed hazard ratios of 2.542 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.363-4.741, P < 0.0001) and 1.723 (95% CI: 0.888-3.357, P = 0.003), respectively. The C-index values for the two cohorts were 0.75 and 0.71. Furthermore, the MPS outperformed single-modality models, providing a complementary tool for current risk stratification in ccRCC adjuvant therapy.

Conclusion: Our novel MPS model demonstrated high accuracy in ISUP grading for ccRCC patients. With further validation across multiple centers, the MPS model could be used for precise detection of nuclear grading in ccRCC, serving as an effective tool for assisting clinical decision-making.