The Global, Regional, and National Burden of Pancreatitis in 204 Countries and Territories, 1990-2021: A Systematic Analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

IF 2.5 4区 医学 Q2 GASTROENTEROLOGY & HEPATOLOGY
Baiqi Liu, Xinge Zhang, Jiarong Li, Zefang Sun, Chiayen Lin, Caihong Ning, Xiaoyue Hong, Shuai Zhu, Dingcheng Shen, Lu Chen, Gengwen Huang
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background: Pancreatitis, an inflammatory condition of the pancreas, poses a significant global health burden. This study provides up-to-date global, regional, and national estimates of pancreatitis burdens from 1990 to 2021, focusing on disparities and trends across regions, age groups, and sexes.

Methods: Data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 study were analyzed to assess the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) associated with pancreatitis. Trends over the 32-year period were examined across demographics and geographic regions. Average annual percentage changes (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated.

Results: In 2021, the age-standardized rates (95% uncertainty interval) per 100,000 population for pancreatitis were: prevalence 69.0 (51.3, 91.3), incidence 32.8 (28.9, 37.4), deaths 1.5 (1.3, 1.7), and DALYs 48.4 (43.1, 55.3). Eastern Europe had the highest burden, led by the Russian Federation. From 1990 to 2021, global pancreatitis burden decreased with AAPCs (95% CI) of - 1.0% (- 1.1%, - 1.0%) for prevalence, - 0.4% (- 0.5%, - 0.4%) for incidence, - 0.5% (- 0.6%, - 0.3%) for deaths, and - 0.5% (- 0.6%, - 0.4%) for DALYs. Most regions showed declines, except Eastern Europe and parts of Africa. The elderly, particularly those aged 65 and older, faced the highest burden. An upward incidence trend was noted in those aged 15 to 25. Men exhibited higher burden rates, with the peak burden occurring at younger ages compared to women. High alcohol use contributed to 15.2% of deaths and 17.0% of DALYs related to pancreatitis.

Conclusions: This study offers a comprehensive assessment of the global burden of pancreatitis from 1990 to 2021. Despite an overall decline, significant regional and demographic disparities persist, with Eastern Europe remaining disproportionately affected. The high burden among the elderly and rising incidence among the young highlight the need for targeted prevention, early detection, and management strategies.

1990-2021年204个国家和地区的全球、区域和国家胰腺炎负担:2021年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析
背景:胰腺炎是胰腺的一种炎症性疾病,造成了重大的全球健康负担。本研究提供了1990年至2021年全球、区域和国家最新的胰腺炎负担估计,重点关注各区域、年龄组和性别之间的差异和趋势。方法:分析全球疾病负担(GBD) 2021研究的数据,以评估与胰腺炎相关的发病率、患病率、死亡率和残疾调整生命年(DALYs)。研究人员对32年来人口和地理区域的趋势进行了研究。计算平均年百分比变化(AAPC), 95%置信区间(CI)。结果:2021年,每10万人中胰腺炎的年龄标准化率(95%不确定区间)为:患病率69.0(51.3,91.3),发病率32.8(28.9,37.4),死亡率1.5 (1.3,1.7),DALYs 48.4(43.1, 55.3)。东欧负担最重,以俄罗斯联邦为首。从1990年到2021年,全球胰腺炎负担下降,aapc (95% CI)为患病率- 1.0%(- 1.1%,- 1.0%),发病率- 0.4%(- 0.5%,- 0.4%),死亡- 0.5% (- 0.6%,- 0.3%),DALYs - 0.5%(- 0.6%, - 0.4%)。除东欧和非洲部分地区外,大多数地区都出现了下降。老年人,特别是65岁及以上的老年人,面临的负担最重。在15至25岁的人群中发病率呈上升趋势。男性表现出更高的负担率,与女性相比,负担高峰出现在更年轻的年龄。过量饮酒导致15.2%的死亡和17.0%的与胰腺炎相关的伤残调整寿命。结论:本研究对1990年至2021年全球胰腺炎负担进行了全面评估。尽管总体下降,但显著的区域和人口差异仍然存在,东欧仍然受到不成比例的影响。老年人的高负担和年轻人发病率的上升突出了有针对性的预防、早期发现和管理战略的必要性。
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来源期刊
Digestive Diseases and Sciences
Digestive Diseases and Sciences 医学-胃肠肝病学
CiteScore
6.40
自引率
3.20%
发文量
420
审稿时长
1 months
期刊介绍: Digestive Diseases and Sciences publishes high-quality, peer-reviewed, original papers addressing aspects of basic/translational and clinical research in gastroenterology, hepatology, and related fields. This well-illustrated journal features comprehensive coverage of basic pathophysiology, new technological advances, and clinical breakthroughs; insights from prominent academicians and practitioners concerning new scientific developments and practical medical issues; and discussions focusing on the latest changes in local and worldwide social, economic, and governmental policies that affect the delivery of care within the disciplines of gastroenterology and hepatology.
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