Rising tide: the growing global burden and inequalities of early-onset type 2 diabetes among youths aged 15-34 years (1990-2021).

Abstract

Background: Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is increasingly affecting people aged 15-34, posing a serious public health challenge due to its faster progression and higher complication risks. This study examines the global, regional, and national burden of early-onset T2DM from 1990 to 2021, emphasizing trends and disparities across different sociodemographic contexts.

Methods: Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, we analyzed incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and years of life lost (YLLs) in people aged 15-34. Stratifications included age, sex, and the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Joinpoint regression significant temporal shifts, and decomposition analysis attributed changes in T2DM burden to factors such as prevalence, population growth, aging, and case fatality rates. Inequality was assessed with the Slope Index of Inequality and Concentration Index.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, early-onset T2DM incidence and prevalence rose significantly worldwide, especially in high-SDI regions. Although global mortality and DALYs appeared relatively stable, low-SDI regions showed worrisome increases. Rising T2DM prevalence was the principal driver of mortality and DALYs, notably in low- and middle-SDI regions. Inequality analyses indicated widening disparities, with higher incidence and prevalence in high-SDI countries and more severe outcomes in low-SDI countries.

Conclusions: The global burden of early-onset T2DM among youths is escalating, with significant disparities across different sociodemographic levels. The findings underscore the urgent need for targeted public health interventions. Future research should focus on the underlying factors driving these trends and explore strategies for effective prevention and management of early-onset T2DM.