Revisiting the Use and Utility of Domain Mapping: A Comparative Study of the Future(s) of Diplomacy and International Affairs

Alex Wilner, Talya Stein
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Abstract

Domain mapping is a necessary yet too-easily overshadowed component of strategic foresight. A domain is defined as any topic that serves as the central focus of a foresight project. Domain mapping is the process of conceptually framing its scope, often by way of participatory brainstorming sessions with subject matter experts. Domain mapping should be thought of as a prerequisite to robust foresight research, a crucial and necessary preliminary step that animates all subsequent processes. Our article has two objectives: to reinvigorate the discussion on the use and utility of domain mapping by illustrating how, why, and when to use the technique; and, using a series of nine domain maps created with hundreds of Canadian public servants between 2018 and 2024, to test a novel approach for empirically evaluating the cumulative results of domain mapping by comparatively assessing the thematic shifts policy practitioners have attributed to the future(s) of diplomacy and international affairs. Our approach illustrates how longitudinal empirical studies of domain maps can shed light on the emerging and shifting perspectives of foresight experts and policy practitioners. The paper highlights nine separate uses for the technique, identifies where foresight and domain mapping are currently used within the Canadian government, analyzes an original set of related domain maps, and provides lessons on facilitating, using, and applying domain mapping with a focus on representation, group dynamics, and data quality.

Abstract Image

重新审视领域映射的使用与效用:未来外交与国际事务的比较研究
领域映射是战略远见的必要组成部分,但太容易被掩盖。领域被定义为作为前瞻性项目的中心焦点的任何主题。领域映射是在概念上构建其范围的过程,通常是通过与主题专家进行参与性头脑风暴会议的方式。领域映射应该被认为是稳健的前瞻性研究的先决条件,是激活所有后续过程的关键和必要的初步步骤。我们的文章有两个目标:通过说明如何、为什么以及何时使用该技术来重振关于领域映射的使用和实用性的讨论;并使用由数百名加拿大公务员在2018年至2024年间创建的一系列九幅领域地图,通过比较评估政策从业者对未来外交和国际事务的主题转变,来测试一种新方法,以经验评估领域制图的累积结果。我们的方法说明了领域地图的纵向实证研究如何能够揭示远见专家和政策实践者的新兴和转变的观点。本文强调了该技术的九种不同用途,确定了加拿大政府目前使用预见和领域映射的地方,分析了一组原始的相关领域地图,并提供了促进、使用和应用领域映射的经验教训,重点是表示、群体动态和数据质量。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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CiteScore
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