Suppress or let go? The time-varying roles of automation towards labor market

IF 5 2区 经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS
Jingting Zhang , Zhiru Shi
{"title":"Suppress or let go? The time-varying roles of automation towards labor market","authors":"Jingting Zhang ,&nbsp;Zhiru Shi","doi":"10.1016/j.strueco.2025.03.007","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It has been widely concerned that automation advancements may have imbalanced effects on the labor market, with the excessive unemployment of low-skill workers. To investigate the issue, we design and construct a general equilibrium model, embedded with different types of capital and labor, and a robot tax. The research suggests that it is effective to implement a robot tax to reasonably regulate the development of automation. However, further research shows a negative robot tax or an automation subsidy may be necessary in the long run, especially when considering the low birth rates and aging population. Empirical evidence proves the crowding out effect of automation on the employment of low- and middle-skilled labor, as well as the promotion effect of aging population on automation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":47829,"journal":{"name":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","volume":"74 ","pages":"Pages 158-174"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Structural Change and Economic Dynamics","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0954349X25000402","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

It has been widely concerned that automation advancements may have imbalanced effects on the labor market, with the excessive unemployment of low-skill workers. To investigate the issue, we design and construct a general equilibrium model, embedded with different types of capital and labor, and a robot tax. The research suggests that it is effective to implement a robot tax to reasonably regulate the development of automation. However, further research shows a negative robot tax or an automation subsidy may be necessary in the long run, especially when considering the low birth rates and aging population. Empirical evidence proves the crowding out effect of automation on the employment of low- and middle-skilled labor, as well as the promotion effect of aging population on automation.
压抑还是放手?自动化对劳动力市场的时变作用
人们普遍担心,自动化的进步可能会对劳动力市场产生不平衡的影响,导致低技能工人的过度失业。为了研究这一问题,我们设计并构建了一个一般均衡模型,其中嵌入了不同类型的资本和劳动力,并引入了机器人税。研究表明,实施机器人税,合理规范自动化的发展是有效的。然而,进一步的研究表明,从长远来看,负机器人税或自动化补贴可能是必要的,特别是考虑到低出生率和人口老龄化。实证证明了自动化对中低技能劳动力就业的挤出效应,以及人口老龄化对自动化的促进作用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
CiteScore
9.60
自引率
4.90%
发文量
159
期刊介绍: Structural Change and Economic Dynamics publishes articles about theoretical, applied and methodological aspects of structural change in economic systems. The journal publishes work analysing dynamics and structural breaks in economic, technological, behavioural and institutional patterns.
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术官方微信