Corruption, terrorism and illicit financial flows related to extractive commodity trade in Africa

IF 10.2 2区 经济学 0 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Simplice A. Asongu , Juste Somé
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to assess the incidence of illicit financial flows (IFFs) on terrorism in Africa, contingent on corruption-control. The study utilizes data from 38 African counties spanning from 2002 to 2021. In order to increase room for policy implications, the overall IFFs measure is decomposed into two main sub-components, namely: illicit financial inflows and illicit financial outflows. The empirical evidence is also based on: (i) baseline regressions, (ii) estimations with the lagged independent variables in order to control for the simultaneity dimension of endogeneity, as well as (iii) GMM in order to account for both the simultaneity and unobserved heterogeneity dimensions of endogeneity. The robustness of the empirical analysis is further improved by limiting the sample to the Sahel countries in which most of the terrorism has been documented over the past decades. It is apparent from the findings that corruption-control effectively moderates IFFs, especially illicit financial inflows, in order to engender an overall negative effect on the outcome variable or terrorism. For the most part, the corruption-control policy thresholds are within policy range. Policy implications are discussed.
与非洲采掘商品贸易有关的腐败、恐怖主义和非法资金流动
本研究的目的是评估非洲恐怖主义的非法资金流动(ifffs)的发生率,这取决于腐败控制。该研究利用了2002年至2021年期间38个非洲国家的数据。为了增加政策影响的空间,国际金融机构的总体衡量被分解为两个主要的子部分,即:非法资金流入和非法资金流出。经验证据也基于:(i)基线回归,(ii)对滞后自变量的估计,以控制内生性的同时性维度,以及(iii) GMM,以解释内生性的同时性和未观察到的异质性维度。通过将样本限制在萨赫勒国家,进一步提高了实证分析的稳健性,在过去几十年中,萨赫勒国家记录了大多数恐怖主义。从调查结果可以明显看出,控制腐败有效地缓和了国际金融活动,特别是非法资金流入,以便对结果变量或恐怖主义产生总体负面影响。在大多数情况下,腐败控制策略阈值都在策略范围内。讨论了政策影响。
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来源期刊
Resources Policy
Resources Policy ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES-
CiteScore
13.40
自引率
23.50%
发文量
602
审稿时长
69 days
期刊介绍: Resources Policy is an international journal focused on the economics and policy aspects of mineral and fossil fuel extraction, production, and utilization. It targets individuals in academia, government, and industry. The journal seeks original research submissions analyzing public policy, economics, social science, geography, and finance in the fields of mining, non-fuel minerals, energy minerals, fossil fuels, and metals. Mineral economics topics covered include mineral market analysis, price analysis, project evaluation, mining and sustainable development, mineral resource rents, resource curse, mineral wealth and corruption, mineral taxation and regulation, strategic minerals and their supply, and the impact of mineral development on local communities and indigenous populations. The journal specifically excludes papers with agriculture, forestry, or fisheries as their primary focus.
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