Giants in the landscape: status, genetic diversity, habitat suitability and conservation implications for a fragmented Asian elephant (Elephas maximus) population in Cambodia.

Abstract

Asian elephant (Elephas maximus) populations are declining and increasingly fragmented across their range. In Cambodia, the Prey Lang Extended Landscape (PLEL) represents a vast expanse of lowland evergreen and semi-evergreen forest with potential to support Asian elephant population recovery in the country. To inform effective landscape-level conservation planning, this study provides the first robust population size estimate for Asian elephants in PLEL, based on non-invasive genetic sampling during the 2020-2021 dry season in three protected areas: Prey Lang, Preah Roka and Chhaeb Wildlife Sanctuaries. Further, it provides an assessment of the species' range, habitat suitability and connectivity within the landscape using Maxent and Fuzzy suitability models. Thirty-five unique genotypes (individual elephants) were identified, of which six were detected in both Preah Roka and Chhaeb Wildlife Sanctuaries, providing evidence that elephants move readily between these neighbouring protected areas. However, no unique genotypes were shared between Preah Roka/Chhaeb and the less functionally connected southerly Prey Lang Wildlife Sanctuary. The estimated population size in the southern population was 31 (95% CI [24-41]) individuals. The northern population of Preah Roka/Chhaeb Wildlife Sanctuaries is estimated to number 20 (95% CI [13-22]) individuals. Habitat loss is prevalent across the landscape and connectivity outside of the protected areas is very limited; however, large swathes of suitable elephant habitat remain. As the landscape holds the potential to be restored to a national stronghold for this flagship species, in turn resulting in the protection of a vast array of biodiversity, we recommend protection of remaining suitable habitat and reduction of threats and disturbance to elephants within these areas as top priorities. Our study offers a model for integrated elephant population and landscape-level habitat modelling that can serve to guide similar research and management efforts in other landscapes.