Navigating Low-Carbon transport in Sichuan Province: A synergistic approach

IF 7.3 1区工程技术 Q1 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI:10.1016/j.trd.2025.104687

Zhixiao Zhang , Dongmei Wang , Fanqiang Meng , Qinwen Tan , Liuhui Zhao , Ye Deng , Sihan Ji , Zhengjun Gong

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Transportation is essential for China’s development; however, increasing the usage of transportation raises significant carbon emissions concerns. Currently, there is limited provincial-level analysis of carbon emissions linked to transportation. This study investigates carbon emissions in Sichuan Province’s transportation sector using an integrated analytical framework combining decomposition, decoupling, and scenario analyses. Results show that economic development effect contributed to a 46.05 Mt emission increase from 2006 to 2020, while industry scale effect facilitated emission reduction. Decreased energy intensity and expanded low-carbon industries promoted emissions-growth decoupling despite challenges in achieving strong decoupling. The Low-Carbon Development Scenario projects emissions to peak at 57.02 Mt by 2030 while maintaining economic growth, providing valuable guidance for low-carbon transportation development in rapidly developing regions.

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四川省低碳交通的发展：一个协同的方法

交通对中国的发展至关重要；然而，交通工具使用量的增加引起了人们对碳排放的严重担忧。目前，对与交通运输相关的碳排放的省级分析有限。本文采用分解分析、解耦分析和情景分析相结合的综合分析框架，对四川省交通运输行业碳排放进行了研究。结果表明：2006 - 2020年，经济发展效应促进了排放量的增加4605 Mt，而产业规模效应促进了排放量的减少。能源强度的降低和低碳产业的扩张促进了排放与增长的脱钩，尽管实现强脱钩存在挑战。低碳发展情景预测，到2030年，在保持经济增长的同时，排放量将达到5702万吨的峰值，为快速发展地区的低碳交通发展提供了有价值的指导。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment 工程技术-运输科技

CiteScore

14.40

自引率

9.20%

发文量

314

审稿时长

39 days

期刊介绍： Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution. We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.