A novel rapid approach for the stability discrimination of landslide dams

IF 3.7 2区 工程技术 Q3 ENGINEERING, ENVIRONMENTAL
Chenguang Song
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Abstract

The dam failure of natural landslide dams is a hot research topic at present, and its foundation focuses on the assessment of the stability of natural landslide dams. However, due to the special formation process of the dam body, the heterogeneous composition of materials, the complexity of the internal structure and the different external morphology of the dam body, which leads to the big difference with the artificial earth-rock dams that are more studied at present, there is still a lack of high-precision rapid stability evaluation methods. Based on a comprehensive review of the global research progress on the formation conditions, stability analyses and dam failure mechanisms of landslide dams, a large-scale database containing 1561 cases of landslide dams around the world was established through literature search and case compilation. Furthermore, three composite indicators, namely, dam shape coefficient, lake surface shape coefficient, dam anti-breach coefficient, were constructed as the evaluation factors of landslide dam stability, and a natural landslide dam stability discrimination model (Ls(LVA)) was constructed based on 114 screened cases and the traditional binary logistic regression method, with a comprehensive accuracy of the model up to 86.84%. The research results can provide a complete set of technical ideas for analysing and predicting the stability of landslide dams.

Abstract Image

天然滑坡坝溃坝是目前研究的热点问题,其基础在于对天然滑坡坝的稳定性评价。但由于坝体特殊的形成过程、材料组成的不均匀性、坝体内部结构的复杂性以及坝体外部形态的不同,导致其与目前研究较多的人工土石坝存在较大差异,目前仍缺乏高精度的快速稳定性评价方法。在综合回顾国内外滑坡坝形成条件、稳定性分析和溃坝机制研究进展的基础上,通过文献检索和案例整理,建立了一个包含全球1561个滑坡坝案例的大型数据库。在此基础上,构建了坝形系数、湖面形状系数、坝抗溃坝系数3个复合指标作为滑坡坝稳定性评价因子,并基于筛选的114个案例,结合传统的二元logistic回归方法,构建了天然滑坡坝稳定性判别模型Ls(LVA),模型综合精度达86.84%。研究成果可为滑坡坝稳定性分析与预测提供一套完整的技术思路。
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来源期刊
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment
Bulletin of Engineering Geology and the Environment 工程技术-地球科学综合
CiteScore
7.10
自引率
11.90%
发文量
445
审稿时长
4.1 months
期刊介绍: Engineering geology is defined in the statutes of the IAEG as the science devoted to the investigation, study and solution of engineering and environmental problems which may arise as the result of the interaction between geology and the works or activities of man, as well as of the prediction of and development of measures for the prevention or remediation of geological hazards. Engineering geology embraces: • the applications/implications of the geomorphology, structural geology, and hydrogeological conditions of geological formations; • the characterisation of the mineralogical, physico-geomechanical, chemical and hydraulic properties of all earth materials involved in construction, resource recovery and environmental change; • the assessment of the mechanical and hydrological behaviour of soil and rock masses; • the prediction of changes to the above properties with time; • the determination of the parameters to be considered in the stability analysis of engineering works and earth masses.
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