{"title":"How do major public transport investments induce gentrification? Evidence from consumer data","authors":"Jens Kandt , Justin van Dijk , James Todd","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2025.104684","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Transit-induced gentrification is a context-dependent phenomenon. Since most empirical studies have analysed single transport investments, the moderating role of local contextual factors is not well understood. This study uses consumer registers and municipal data to investigate within which time frame and under which geographical and economic conditions, transport investments give rise to gentrification. We analyse 19 major bus rapid transit (BRT), light rail transit or tram (LRT) and local heavy rail transport interventions that opened in England and Scotland since 2009. Employing a quasi-experimental analytical framework, we detect some modest signals that transport investments attract new residents – especially residents from more affluent areas – and generate neighbourhood churn. Furthermore, we discover heterogeneous effects among the 19 schemes and find that gentrification occurs more often in local authorities that show lower economic growth and lower labour market participation. Neighbourhood churn appears to be higher in more dynamic local authorities with a stronger skills base.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 104684"},"PeriodicalIF":7.3000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136192092500094X","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
Transit-induced gentrification is a context-dependent phenomenon. Since most empirical studies have analysed single transport investments, the moderating role of local contextual factors is not well understood. This study uses consumer registers and municipal data to investigate within which time frame and under which geographical and economic conditions, transport investments give rise to gentrification. We analyse 19 major bus rapid transit (BRT), light rail transit or tram (LRT) and local heavy rail transport interventions that opened in England and Scotland since 2009. Employing a quasi-experimental analytical framework, we detect some modest signals that transport investments attract new residents – especially residents from more affluent areas – and generate neighbourhood churn. Furthermore, we discover heterogeneous effects among the 19 schemes and find that gentrification occurs more often in local authorities that show lower economic growth and lower labour market participation. Neighbourhood churn appears to be higher in more dynamic local authorities with a stronger skills base.
期刊介绍:
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution.
We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.