A framework for resilience assessment of transportation networks exposed to geohazard threats.

IF 3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-03-09 DOI:10.1111/risa.70014
Chao Fang, Mingce Wang, Haoran Fu, Yanze Chu, Enrico Zio
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

The increased frequency of rainfall-triggered geohazards has led to more disruptions of transportation networks in recent years. This study proposes an integrated framework for resilience assessment of transportation networks, where the highway disruption scenarios are simulated using a traffic model and a developed geohazard threat model based on real-world datasets. In the framework, we provide a resilience-oriented indicator that integrates traffic flow and geohazard threat, upon which to identify critical elements of the highway network and the geohazard-prone sites. To enhance the performance of the highway network under disruptions, we design multiple strategies including reinforcing highway segments and preventing potential geohazards. We apply the proposed approach to a realistic case study of the highway network of Shaanxi province in China. The results of the analysis demonstrate the validity and reliability of the resilience-oriented indicator, and illustrate that a mixture of reinforcement strategies provides better improvement in system performance under scenarios with different traffic demand level.

面对地质灾害威胁的交通网络复原力评估框架。
近年来,降雨引发的地质灾害越来越频繁,导致交通网络受到更多破坏。本研究提出了一个交通网络弹性评估的综合框架,其中使用交通模型和基于真实世界数据集的开发地质灾害威胁模型模拟公路中断情景。在该框架中,我们提供了一个以弹性为导向的指标,将交通流量和地质灾害威胁整合在一起,以此来识别公路网的关键要素和地质灾害易发地点。为了提高公路网络在中断下的性能,我们设计了多种策略,包括加固公路段和预防潜在的地质灾害。我们将所提出的方法应用于中国陕西省公路网的实际案例研究。分析结果验证了弹性导向指标的有效性和可靠性,并说明在不同交通需求水平的场景下,混合强化策略能更好地提高系统性能。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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