{"title":"Probabilistic multi-hazard risk assessment of high-rise buildings subjected to concurrent earthquakes and strong winds","authors":"Qian-Qian Yu , Ling-Han Liu , Xiang-Lin Gu , Yao-Yao Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.engstruct.2025.119972","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper presents a multi-hazard risk analysis of high-rise buildings exposed to earthquakes and strong winds. A concurrent hazard database was first collected, consisting of 35,687 sets of concurrent hazards from 1901 to 2020, with earthquakes greater than M 4.0 and wind speeds exceeding 10 m/s. The probability of simultaneous occurrence of earthquakes and strong winds was theoretically derived and verified through Monte Carlo simulation and statistical result. Afterward, numerical simulation was performed on two high-rise buildings, with special focus on the fragility of the structures exposed to both individual and multiple hazards. The maximum top displacement of the structure under multiple hazards exceeded 0.9 %−24.6 % of the superposition of responses under individual hazards. The annual failure probability of the structure was analyzed through convolution of the disaster risk function and the structure fragility function. It was indicated that the annual failure probability under concurrent hazard conditions was 1.12 −2.05 times of that under individual hazard conditions in the damaged state of IDR (Inter-story Drift Ratio)> 1.5 %.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":11763,"journal":{"name":"Engineering Structures","volume":"331 ","pages":"Article 119972"},"PeriodicalIF":5.6000,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Engineering Structures","FirstCategoryId":"5","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0141029625003633","RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"ENGINEERING, CIVIL","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
This paper presents a multi-hazard risk analysis of high-rise buildings exposed to earthquakes and strong winds. A concurrent hazard database was first collected, consisting of 35,687 sets of concurrent hazards from 1901 to 2020, with earthquakes greater than M 4.0 and wind speeds exceeding 10 m/s. The probability of simultaneous occurrence of earthquakes and strong winds was theoretically derived and verified through Monte Carlo simulation and statistical result. Afterward, numerical simulation was performed on two high-rise buildings, with special focus on the fragility of the structures exposed to both individual and multiple hazards. The maximum top displacement of the structure under multiple hazards exceeded 0.9 %−24.6 % of the superposition of responses under individual hazards. The annual failure probability of the structure was analyzed through convolution of the disaster risk function and the structure fragility function. It was indicated that the annual failure probability under concurrent hazard conditions was 1.12 −2.05 times of that under individual hazard conditions in the damaged state of IDR (Inter-story Drift Ratio)> 1.5 %.
期刊介绍:
Engineering Structures provides a forum for a broad blend of scientific and technical papers to reflect the evolving needs of the structural engineering and structural mechanics communities. Particularly welcome are contributions dealing with applications of structural engineering and mechanics principles in all areas of technology. The journal aspires to a broad and integrated coverage of the effects of dynamic loadings and of the modelling techniques whereby the structural response to these loadings may be computed.
The scope of Engineering Structures encompasses, but is not restricted to, the following areas: infrastructure engineering; earthquake engineering; structure-fluid-soil interaction; wind engineering; fire engineering; blast engineering; structural reliability/stability; life assessment/integrity; structural health monitoring; multi-hazard engineering; structural dynamics; optimization; expert systems; experimental modelling; performance-based design; multiscale analysis; value engineering.
Topics of interest include: tall buildings; innovative structures; environmentally responsive structures; bridges; stadiums; commercial and public buildings; transmission towers; television and telecommunication masts; foldable structures; cooling towers; plates and shells; suspension structures; protective structures; smart structures; nuclear reactors; dams; pressure vessels; pipelines; tunnels.
Engineering Structures also publishes review articles, short communications and discussions, book reviews, and a diary on international events related to any aspect of structural engineering.