A Comparative Study of Near-Surface Wind Speed Observations and Reanalysis Datasets in China Over the Past 38 Years

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Xiyuan Mi, Peng Liu
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Abstract

Near-surface wind speed (NSWS) reanalysis products have been widely used in NSWS research, yet there is a lack of evaluation for NSWS reanalysis products. Based on the 10 m wind speed observations data from stations during 1980–2017, this article evaluated the climatic characteristics of NSWS over mainland China at various spatiotemporal scales using four reanalysis datasets: ERA5, MERRA-2, NCEP-2 and JRA-3Q. Compared with station observations, ERA5 and NCEP-2 showed positive biases in the climatology of NSWS, MERRA-2 showed negative biases and JRA-3Q showed significantly negative biases. Regarding the spatial distribution of the climatology, ERA5 performed the best with a spatial correlation coefficient of 0.55 with stations. At the interannual scale, ERA5 showed the best performance with a correlation coefficient of 0.68 with stations, significantly better than the other three reanalysis datasets. At the interdecadal scale, MERRA-2, NCEP-2 and JRA-3Q can generally reproduce the decreasing trend in NSWS from 1980 to 2011. However, none of the four reanalysis datasets can capture the increasing trend from 2011 to 2017. In terms of the annual cycle, only ERA5 can well reproduce the seasonal characteristics in different regions, including the maximum NSWS in the north and the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau in spring and the south of the Yangtze River in summer. Considering the evaluation results at different spatiotemporal scales, ERA5 exhibited good performance regarding the spatial distribution of climatology, interannual variability and annual cycle, but failed to reproduce observational features at the interdecadal scale. JRA-3Q showed significant advantages in terms of interdecadal variability, whereas neither MERRA-2 nor NCEP-2 showed prominent advantages in various aspects.

Abstract Image

近38年中国近地面风速观测与再分析资料的比较研究
近地面风速(NSWS)再分析产品在NSWS研究中得到了广泛的应用,但对NSWS再分析产品的评价缺乏。基于1980—2017年中国大陆10 m风速观测资料,利用ERA5、MERRA-2、NCEP-2和JRA-3Q 4个再分析数据,对中国大陆不同时空尺度的NSWS气候特征进行了评价。与台站观测结果相比,ERA5和NCEP-2在NSWS气候学上表现为正偏,MERRA-2表现为负偏,JRA-3Q表现为显著负偏。在气候学空间分布上,ERA5表现最好,与台站的空间相关系数为0.55。在年际尺度上,ERA5表现最好,与站点的相关系数为0.68,显著优于其他3个再分析数据集。在年代际尺度上,MERRA-2、NCEP-2和JRA-3Q能较好地再现1980 ~ 2011年NSWS的下降趋势。然而,四个再分析数据集都无法捕捉到2011年至2017年的增长趋势。在年周期上,只有ERA5较好地再现了不同区域的季节特征,包括春季北部和青藏高原最大NSWS和夏季长江以南最大NSWS。从不同时空尺度的评价结果来看,ERA5在气候空间分布、年际变率和年周期方面表现较好,但在年代际尺度上未能再现观测特征。JRA-3Q在年代际变率方面具有显著优势,而MERRA-2和NCEP-2在各方面均未表现出显著优势。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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