Subnational Evidence for the Attributable Burden of Respiratory Infections in China's Population under 20: Challenges from Particulate Matter Pollution.

Abstract

Respiratory infections and tuberculosis ranked as the second leading global causes of mortality in 2021. Following the methodology from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021, we aimed to estimate the attributable burden and risk factors of respiratory infections and tuberculosis among China's population under 20 from 1990 to 2021. In 2021, there were 652 million new cases and 12 699 deaths of respiratory infections and tuberculosis among people under 20 years old in China. We estimated 9054 (71.2%) deaths and 818 498 (54.6%) disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) from respiratory infections attributed to all evaluated risk factors. Mortality rates were the highest in Xizang, Xinjiang, and Qinghai in 2021, while they constantly decreased since 1990. Ambient particulate matter pollution was the second leading cause of death among males and first among females, accounting for nearly 1/5 of deaths from respiratory infections and tuberculosis in 2021. In 23 of 33 provinces, ambient particulate matter pollution was the first leading cause of death and DALY, while in Xizang and Gansu, it was not the major contributor to the burden. From 1990 to 2021, the burden from household air pollution declined remarkably in all 33 provinces except for Xizang and Gansu, while the population attributable fraction (PAF) of ambient particulate matter pollution continuously increased. The overall burden of respiratory infections and tuberculosis showed a declining trend, while it remained a fatal threat to infants in relatively less developed regions. The raised hazard of ambient particulate matter pollution underscored the necessity of the shift into the formulation of prevention and intervention strategies.