Stage Segmentation of Rural Transformation and Comparisons Among Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, and Pakistan: Combining Machine Learning and New Structural Economics to Facilitate International Agricultural Development and Policy Design

IF 1.4 3区社会学 Q1 AREA STUDIES

Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies Pub Date : 2025-02-27 DOI:10.1002/app5.70016

Dong Wang, Chunlai Chen, Christopher Findlay, Jikun Huang, Justin Yifu Lin, Abedullah, Mohammad Jahangir Alam, Abid Hussain, Nunung Nuryartono, Tahlim Sudaryanto, David Shearer

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Abstract

This paper contributes a new paradigm for international agricultural development research. It uses machine learning techniques to aid expert diagnosis of development problems in conjunction with New Structural Economics (NSE) to analyse and design policies to enable effective rural transformation. It conducts a multi-country, multi-regional, multi-level and multi-dimensional analysis in Bangladesh, China, Indonesia, and Pakistan to identify stage segmentations of rural transformation and examine stagewise associate policies and applicable learnings across each dimension. By presenting structured stages of rural transformation, we provide guidance on designing dynamic comparative-advantage-adapting policies that are able to adapt at each stage. This analytical procedure can serve other relevant agricultural development studies.

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孟加拉国、中国、印度尼西亚和巴基斯坦农村转型的阶段分割与比较：结合机器学习和新结构经济学促进国际农业发展和政策设计

本文为国际农业发展研究提供了新的范式。它使用机器学习技术来帮助专家诊断发展问题，并结合新结构经济学（NSE）来分析和设计政策，以实现有效的农村转型。报告对孟加拉国、中国、印度尼西亚和巴基斯坦进行了多国、多地区、多层次和多维度的分析，以确定农村转型的阶段划分，并研究每个维度的阶段性相关政策和适用经验。通过呈现农村转型的结构化阶段，我们为设计能够适应每个阶段的动态比较优势适应政策提供了指导。这种分析方法可以为其他相关的农业发展研究提供服务。

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来源期刊

Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies AREA STUDIES-

CiteScore

3.20

自引率

5.30%

发文量

审稿时长

6 weeks

期刊介绍： Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies is the flagship journal of the Crawford School of Public Policy at The Australian National University. It is a peer-reviewed journal that targets research in policy studies in Australia, Asia and the Pacific, across a discipline focus that includes economics, political science, governance, development and the environment. Specific themes of recent interest include health and education, aid, migration, inequality, poverty reduction, energy, climate and the environment, food policy, public administration, the role of the private sector in public policy, trade, foreign policy, natural resource management and development policy. Papers on a range of topics that speak to various disciplines, the region and policy makers are encouraged. The goal of the journal is to break down barriers across disciplines, and generate policy impact. Submissions will be reviewed on the basis of content, policy relevance and readability.