A critical assessment of the interplay of conflict, hunger, poverty, and food insecurity in Africa

Abstract

Background

The world is facing a critical challenge: ensuring adequate food production and supply to meet the needs of a rapidly growing global population. Food insecurity is on the rise, exacerbated by factors such as skyrocketing food prices, prolonged conflicts, climate disruption, and the lingering effects of the COVID-19 pandemic. While the FAO and its partners report some stabilization in the rate of undernourishment, hunger has increased in regions like Western Asia, the Caribbean, and Africa. Conflict and violence are particularly concerning, acting as a primary catalyst for severe food and nutrition insecurity.

Methods

This study reviews recent trends in hunger, poverty, and food insecurity, utilizing established metrics like the Global Hunger Index (GHI), World Poverty Clock, and Global Food Security Index (GFSI). It specifically assesses the interplay of conflict using recent data from The Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) on these issues in Africa. The study utilizes country-level data from Africa to assess correlations between conflict index scores and indicators of poverty, hunger, and food security.

Results

The results underscore the substantial impact of conflict on food security across the continent. The study presents country-level evidence of clear links between conflict index scores and indicators of poverty (r = 0.31), hunger (r = 0.47), and food security (r = -0.58) in Africa. The research sheds light on the dire food security situations in African hotspots and offers crucial considerations for addressing the intertwined challenges of conflict, hunger, poverty, and food insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa.

Conclusion

The study highlights the critical need to address the interconnected challenges of conflict, hunger, poverty, and food insecurity in sub-Saharan Africa. The findings emphasize the importance of understanding the complex interplay of these factors and prioritizing conflict mitigation and resolution strategies as a crucial step towards achieving sustainable food security in the region. Further research and collaborative efforts are necessary to develop effective and long-term solutions to this pressing global challenge.