Jia Yang, Zi-Yi Wang, Jing Chen, Yao Zhang, Lei Chen
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Background: Ampullary adenocarcinoma is a rare malignant tumor of the gastrointestinal tract. Currently, only a few cases have been reported, resulting in limited information on survival.
Aim: To develop a dynamic nomogram using internal and external validation to predict survival in patients with ampullary adenocarcinoma.
Methods: Data were sourced from the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results stat database. The patients in the database were randomized in a 7:3 ratio into training and validation groups. Using Cox regression univariate and multivariate analyses in the training group, we identified independent risk factors for overall survival and cancer-specific survival to develop the nomogram. The nomogram was validated with a cohort of patients from the First Affiliated Hospital of the Army Medical University.
Results: For overall and cancer-specific survival, 12 (sex, age, race, lymph node ratio, tumor size, chemotherapy, surgical modality, T stage, tumor differentiation, brain metastasis, lung metastasis, and extension) and 6 (age; surveillance, epidemiology, and end results stage; lymph node ratio; chemotherapy; surgical modality; and tumor differentiation) independent risk factors, respectively, were incorporated into the nomogram. The area under the curve values at 1, 3, and 5 years, respectively, were 0.807, 0.842, and 0.826 for overall survival and 0.816, 0.835, and 0.841 for cancer-specific survival. The internal and external validation cohorts indicated good consistency of the nomogram.
Conclusion: The dynamic nomogram offers robust predictive efficacy for the overall and cancer-specific survival of ampullary adenocarcinoma.
期刊介绍：
The WJCO is a high-quality, peer reviewed, open-access journal. The primary task of WJCO is to rapidly publish high-quality original articles, reviews, editorials, and case reports in the field of oncology. In order to promote productive academic communication, the peer review process for the WJCO is transparent; to this end, all published manuscripts are accompanied by the anonymized reviewers’ comments as well as the authors’ responses. The primary aims of the WJCO are to improve diagnostic, therapeutic and preventive modalities and the skills of clinicians and to guide clinical practice in oncology. Scope: Art of Oncology, Biology of Neoplasia, Breast Cancer, Cancer Prevention and Control, Cancer-Related Complications, Diagnosis in Oncology, Gastrointestinal Cancer, Genetic Testing For Cancer, Gynecologic Cancer, Head and Neck Cancer, Hematologic Malignancy, Lung Cancer, Melanoma, Molecular Oncology, Neurooncology, Palliative and Supportive Care, Pediatric Oncology, Surgical Oncology, Translational Oncology, and Urologic Oncology.
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