Ziheng Zhu, Da Zhang, Xiaoye Zhang and Xiliang Zhang
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
Accelerating decarbonization of the power system is at the heart of achieving China's carbon neutrality goal and mitigating global climate change. However, deploying multi-terawatts of variable renewable energy (VRE) may result in substantial system volatility. Here, using a temporally and spatially resolved model co-optimizing capacity expansion and system operation throughout the full 8760 hours in a planning year, we show that achieving −550 MtCO2 per year of negative emissions is feasible for China's power system by 2060 with 6000 GW of VRE, 5800 GW h of energy storage, and 850 MtCO2 per year of carbon capture and sequestration (CCS), at the marginal carbon abatement cost of 750–1100 yuan per tCO2 (about 108–157 $ per tCO2). Multi-millions of hectares of land areas are necessary to accommodate the TW-scale installation of solar photovoltaic panels, with restricted land policies resulting in a 3.3% increase in electricity costs. System volatility also surges with higher penetration of VRE, represented by increasing variability in hourly marginal demand cost, necessitating firm resources to ensure capacity adequacy. Although these firm sources can earn higher generation revenues in peak hours, capacity compensation amounting to hundreds of yuan per kW (about tens of $ per kW) per year is still needed. Effective planning and policy formulation are essential to support China's decarbonization effort for its power sector.
期刊介绍:
Energy & Environmental Science, a peer-reviewed scientific journal, publishes original research and review articles covering interdisciplinary topics in the (bio)chemical and (bio)physical sciences, as well as chemical engineering disciplines. Published monthly by the Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC), a not-for-profit publisher, Energy & Environmental Science is recognized as a leading journal. It boasts an impressive impact factor of 8.500 as of 2009, ranking 8th among 140 journals in the category "Chemistry, Multidisciplinary," second among 71 journals in "Energy & Fuels," second among 128 journals in "Engineering, Chemical," and first among 181 scientific journals in "Environmental Sciences."
Energy & Environmental Science publishes various types of articles, including Research Papers (original scientific work), Review Articles, Perspectives, and Minireviews (feature review-type articles of broad interest), Communications (original scientific work of an urgent nature), Opinions (personal, often speculative viewpoints or hypotheses on current topics), and Analysis Articles (in-depth examination of energy-related issues).