Applications of interpretable ensemble learning for workplace risk assessment: The Chinese coal industry as an example.

IF 3.3 3区 医学 Q1 MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS
Risk Analysis Pub Date : 2025-08-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-21 DOI:10.1111/risa.17708
QiFei Wang, YiHan Zhao, JunLong Wang, Shuai Liu, HaoLin Liu, Yang Qu, YingFeng Sun, ChengWu Li
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Machine learning has demonstrated potential in addressing complex nonlinear changes in risk assessment. However, further exploration is needed to enhance model interpretability and optimize performance. Therefore, this study aims to develop a novel workplace risk assessment framework. By utilizing the SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis method and ensemble learning algorithms, the framework maps characteristic attributes to risk levels. Reliability validation of the framework and analysis of critical attribute components are conducted using accidents in Chinese coal enterprises as a case study, which represents one of the most serious occupational hazards. The results indicate that addressing interpretability issues of ensemble learning algorithms yields a model capable of accurately assessing workplace risk and understanding model decision-making processes. Comparative experiments show that the model achieves an accuracy of up to 98.3%, confirming its robust performance. The outcomes of the SHAP model for feature importance facilitate the identification of critical attributes that explain causal relationships leading to risk-level findings. This provides valuable accident prevention strategies to minimize occupational injuries and losses.

可解释集成学习在工作场所风险评估中的应用:以中国煤炭行业为例。
机器学习在解决风险评估中复杂的非线性变化方面已经显示出潜力。然而,需要进一步的探索来增强模型的可解释性和优化性能。因此,本研究旨在建立一个新的工作场所风险评估框架。该框架利用SHapley加性解释(SHAP)分析方法和集成学习算法,将特征属性映射到风险等级。以中国煤炭企业事故为例,对该框架进行了可靠性验证,并对关键属性成分进行了分析。结果表明,解决集成学习算法的可解释性问题产生了一个能够准确评估工作场所风险和理解模型决策过程的模型。对比实验表明,该模型的准确率高达98.3%,验证了其鲁棒性。特征重要性的SHAP模型的结果有助于识别解释导致风险水平发现的因果关系的关键属性。这为减少职业伤害和损失提供了有价值的事故预防策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Risk Analysis
Risk Analysis 数学-数学跨学科应用
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
10.50%
发文量
183
审稿时长
4.2 months
期刊介绍: Published on behalf of the Society for Risk Analysis, Risk Analysis is ranked among the top 10 journals in the ISI Journal Citation Reports under the social sciences, mathematical methods category, and provides a focal point for new developments in the field of risk analysis. This international peer-reviewed journal is committed to publishing critical empirical research and commentaries dealing with risk issues. The topics covered include: • Human health and safety risks • Microbial risks • Engineering • Mathematical modeling • Risk characterization • Risk communication • Risk management and decision-making • Risk perception, acceptability, and ethics • Laws and regulatory policy • Ecological risks.
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