E-bike crashes: Who they affect and which circumstances to avoid?

IF 3.1 3区 工程技术 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL STUDIES
Yuntong Zhou , Natalia Barbour , Mohamed Abdel-Aty , Xin Gu , Yanyan Chen
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

In the last decade, the popularity of e-bikes has increased as they have shown potential to relieve congestion and aid the environment. However, with the increase of their popularity, there has been also an increase in their traffic crashes. This study aims to understand factors playing a role in the e-bike crash injury outcomes. The analysis uses 1,351 records of e-bike crashes to estimate random parameters multinomial logit models with heterogeneity in the means and variances of random parameters in four groups. This paper also seeks to provide insights into e-bike crash injury severities across gender (female versus male) and lighting conditions (daytime and nighttime) specific models. Numerous likelihood ratio tests were performed to justify splitting the data. It was found that a variety of factors relating to the weather and road characteristics, crash type, and rider’s demographics play a role in crash outcomes. Particularly interesting are findings relating to the rollover crashes increasing the likelihood of severe outcomes as well as gender specific effects with, for example, male riders have a higher probability of severe injuries during peak traffic hours. The findings can be used to support e-bike safety as well as advocate for a more nuanced and inclusive approach relating to e-bike travel.
电动自行车事故:谁会受到影响,哪些情况需要避免?
在过去的十年里,电动自行车越来越受欢迎,因为它们显示出了缓解拥堵和保护环境的潜力。然而,随着他们的普及,交通事故也有所增加。本研究旨在了解影响电动自行车碰撞损伤结果的因素。分析使用1351个电动自行车碰撞记录来估计四组随机参数均值和方差均存在异质性的随机参数多项logit模型。本文还试图提供不同性别(女性与男性)和光照条件(白天和夜间)特定车型的电动自行车碰撞损伤严重程度的见解。进行了许多似然比检验来证明拆分数据的合理性。研究发现,与天气和道路特征、碰撞类型和骑手的人口统计学相关的各种因素在碰撞结果中发挥作用。特别有趣的是,与侧翻事故有关的发现增加了严重后果的可能性,以及性别特定的影响,例如,男性骑手在交通高峰时段受重伤的可能性更高。研究结果可以用来支持电动自行车的安全性,并倡导一种更细致、更包容的电动自行车出行方式。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
CiteScore
8.90
自引率
2.60%
发文量
56
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Sustainable Transportation provides a discussion forum for the exchange of new and innovative ideas on sustainable transportation research in the context of environmental, economical, social, and engineering aspects, as well as current and future interactions of transportation systems and other urban subsystems. The scope includes the examination of overall sustainability of any transportation system, including its infrastructure, vehicle, operation, and maintenance; the integration of social science disciplines, engineering, and information technology with transportation; the understanding of the comparative aspects of different transportation systems from a global perspective; qualitative and quantitative transportation studies; and case studies, surveys, and expository papers in an international or local context. Equal emphasis is placed on the problems of sustainable transportation that are associated with passenger and freight transportation modes in both industrialized and non-industrialized areas. All submitted manuscripts are subject to initial evaluation by the Editors and, if found suitable for further consideration, to peer review by independent, anonymous expert reviewers. All peer review is single-blind. Submissions are made online via ScholarOne Manuscripts.
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