Going with the flow: How does global energy value chain adapt to geopolitical risks?

IF 13.6 2区经济学 Q1 ECONOMICS

Energy Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI:10.1016/j.eneco.2025.108288

Rabindra Nepal , Youyi Deng , Kangyin Dong

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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Geopolitics is a significant risk that affects the global energy system and impacts countries' participation in the global energy value chain (EGVC). Based on this, this paper provides a thorough analysis and empirical examination of the impact of geopolitics risks (GPR) on the EGVC with 41 countries around the world from 2010 to 2019. The results of the study found that: (1) Compared to energy importing countries, energy exporting countries have lower participation and are in the upstream of EGVC, obtaining less value added. (2) The GPR can reduce EGVC participation and push countries to move upstream of EGVC, thus crowding out activities with higher value-added such as new energy technology innovation while guaranteeing energy security. (3) Influenced by trade barriers and other factors, GPR affects countries' participation in EGVC mainly by reducing the scale of international trade, and the increase in the level of financial development can mitigate the impact of the GPR on EGVC. (4) The quantile regression results show that GPR affects countries' participation in EGVC mainly by increasing the level of forward participation as well as decreasing the level of backward participation, and GPR has a greater impact on countries located upstream and with higher participation in the EGVC. This study contributes to the research on EGVC and guides for countries to participate in EGVC under uncertain external conditions.

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来源期刊

Energy Economics ECONOMICS-

CiteScore

18.60

自引率

12.50%

发文量

524

期刊介绍： Energy Economics is a field journal that focuses on energy economics and energy finance. It covers various themes including the exploitation, conversion, and use of energy, markets for energy commodities and derivatives, regulation and taxation, forecasting, environment and climate, international trade, development, and monetary policy. The journal welcomes contributions that utilize diverse methods such as experiments, surveys, econometrics, decomposition, simulation models, equilibrium models, optimization models, and analytical models. It publishes a combination of papers employing different methods to explore a wide range of topics. The journal's replication policy encourages the submission of replication studies, wherein researchers reproduce and extend the key results of original studies while explaining any differences. Energy Economics is indexed and abstracted in several databases including Environmental Abstracts, Fuel and Energy Abstracts, Social Sciences Citation Index, GEOBASE, Social & Behavioral Sciences, Journal of Economic Literature, INSPEC, and more.