Dissecting the rising tide of inflammatory bowel disease among youth in a changing world: insights from GBD 2021.

Abstract

Objectives: This study investigates the alarming epidemiological trends of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) among children and young adults, highlighting the associated disease burden on global health.

Materials and methods: Utilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2021, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC). Future trends were forecasted using the Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

Results: From 1990 to 2021, IBD incidence and DALY rates remained persistently high, with a concerning upward trend noted among children and young adults. While men experienced a decline in DALY rates, women faced increasing burdens. In 2021, high-income regions, particularly North America, reported the highest incidence and DALY rates, contrasting sharply with Central Latin America, which exhibited the lowest ASIR. Southeast Asia presented the most favorable DALY rates. A notable negative correlation was identified between DALY rates and socio-demographic index (SDI) at the national level, with high and high-middle SDI countries continuing to bear a substantial burden, while low and middle SDI nations faced rising challenges.

Conclusions: The persistent high burden of IBD in children and young adults signifies a critical public health concern. The marked geographical and gender disparities underscore the urgent need for tailored regional and population-based strategies aimed at primary prevention and effective management. This study illuminates the pressing necessity for policy interventions to address the growing epidemic of IBD among vulnerable populations.