{"title":"“Dollarization vs. bitcoinization in Türkiye: Which is more dangerous for the financial market?”","authors":"George M. Jabbour , Layal Mansour-Ichrakieh","doi":"10.1016/j.intfin.2025.102116","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While bitcoinization and dollarization share similar theoretical economic definitions, their effects on the financial market differ. We employ a vector autoregressive model and Granger causality test to examine the causal relationships between Bitcoin demand, the dollarization rate, and the financial market in Türkiye. The results indicate that neither bitcoinization nor dollarization directly causes a financial crisis in Türkiye. However, when breaking down the financial market into its three components —the banking sector, the stock market, and the foreign exchange market — we find a bidirectional causality between bitcoinization and the banking sector, and between dollarization and the exchange market.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48119,"journal":{"name":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","volume":"100 ","pages":"Article 102116"},"PeriodicalIF":5.4000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions & Money","FirstCategoryId":"96","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S104244312500006X","RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q1","JCRName":"BUSINESS, FINANCE","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
While bitcoinization and dollarization share similar theoretical economic definitions, their effects on the financial market differ. We employ a vector autoregressive model and Granger causality test to examine the causal relationships between Bitcoin demand, the dollarization rate, and the financial market in Türkiye. The results indicate that neither bitcoinization nor dollarization directly causes a financial crisis in Türkiye. However, when breaking down the financial market into its three components —the banking sector, the stock market, and the foreign exchange market — we find a bidirectional causality between bitcoinization and the banking sector, and between dollarization and the exchange market.
期刊介绍:
International trade, financing and investments, and the related cash and credit transactions, have grown at an extremely rapid pace in recent years. The international monetary system has continued to evolve to accommodate the need for foreign-currency denominated transactions and in the process has provided opportunities for its ongoing observation and study. The purpose of the Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money is to publish rigorous, original articles dealing with the international aspects of financial markets, institutions and money. Theoretical/conceptual and empirical papers providing meaningful insights into the subject areas will be considered. The following topic areas, although not exhaustive, are representative of the coverage in this Journal. • International financial markets • International securities markets • Foreign exchange markets • Eurocurrency markets • International syndications • Term structures of Eurocurrency rates • Determination of exchange rates • Information, speculation and parity • Forward rates and swaps • International payment mechanisms • International commercial banking; • International investment banking • Central bank intervention • International monetary systems • Balance of payments.