Heightened demand for mental health information resources during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Germany: A retrospective longitudinal analysis of helpline calls

Q3 Psychology
Jil Zippelius , Simon Schreynemackers , Ulrich Hegerl , Hanna Reich
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引用次数: 0

Abstract

Background

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic precipitated disruptions and limitations in medical services which led to changes in help-seeking behaviour. There was a surge the demand for crisis hotlines. The “Info-Telefon Depression”, a hotline primarily focused on offering information about depressive disorders rather than crisis intervention. This study investigated the impact of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic on hotline usage trends through a time-series analysis.

Methods

Based on longitudinal data from 2018 to 2022 predictive models were developed for caller trends on the Info-Telefon Depression. These predictive models were validated by comparing the anticipated caller volumes with actual observations. Unique weekly seasonality parameters were assigned to the lockdown phases to capture anticipated variations in calling patterns. Furthermore, rolling back cross-validation was employed to iteratively assess mean absolute errors over one-month periods during the pre-phase, the SARS-CoV-2-phase and the post-phase to explore variations in forecast quality across these timeframes.

Results

There were 56 more calls observed during the first lockdown phase than anticipated by the forecast model, a statistically significant finding (P < 0.005). During the second lockdown phase, the difference was even greater (P < 0.005) with 262 calls more than expected. The modelling accuracy of the prophet models has differences between the phases indicating that the SARS-CoV-2-phase has a different dynamic.

Conclusion

The study demonstrated that information-seeking behaviour changed during the pandemic, especially during the lockdown phases. In the event of health crises, more resources must be allocated to meet the increased demand for mental health services. Further research needs to explore the pandemic preparedness and crisis readiness.
德国SARS-CoV-2大流行期间对精神卫生信息资源的需求增加:对求助热线电话的回顾性纵向分析
SARS-CoV-2大流行加剧了医疗服务的中断和限制,导致求助行为的改变。对危机热线的需求激增。“抑郁症信息电话”,这条热线主要侧重于提供有关抑郁症的信息,而不是危机干预。本研究通过时间序列分析调查了SARS-CoV-2大流行对热线使用趋势的影响。方法基于2018 - 2022年的纵向数据,建立信息电话萧条时期呼叫者趋势预测模型。通过将预期的呼叫者数量与实际观察结果进行比较,验证了这些预测模型。为封锁阶段分配了独特的每周季节性参数,以捕捉呼叫模式的预期变化。此外,采用回滚交叉验证来迭代评估前阶段、新冠肺炎阶段和后阶段一个月内的平均绝对误差,以探索这些时间框架内预测质量的变化。结果在第一个封锁阶段观察到的呼叫比预测模型预测的多56个,这是一个具有统计学意义的发现(P <;0.005)。在第二个封锁阶段,这种差异甚至更大(P <;0.005),比预期多262个电话。预测模型的建模精度在不同阶段之间存在差异,表明新冠肺炎阶段具有不同的动态。结论该研究表明,在大流行期间,特别是在封锁阶段,信息寻求行为发生了变化。在发生健康危机时,必须拨出更多资源,以满足对精神卫生服务日益增加的需求。进一步的研究需要探讨大流行防备和危机防备。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
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来源期刊
Journal of Affective Disorders Reports
Journal of Affective Disorders Reports Psychology-Clinical Psychology
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
137
审稿时长
134 days
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