{"title":"Ionospheric changes immediately before the 2023 February Kahramanmaras earthquakes, Turkey","authors":"Ihsan Naufal Muafiry , Irwan Meilano , Dudy D. Wijaya , Erman Sentürk , Kosuke Heki","doi":"10.1016/j.asr.2024.11.011","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The East Anatolian Fault in southern Turkey ruptured on 6 February 2023, causing a M<sub>w</sub> 7.8 earthquake. Another large earthquake of M<sub>w</sub> 7.5 occurred to the north of the first event ∼9 h later. Here we look for ionospheric precursors immediately before these earthquakes, like those found ∼40 min before the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, Japan, by using the total electron content data obtained by global navigation satellite system receivers. Considering that the changes are small, we first inferred the leading times and the intensities of the anomalies using their empirical relationship with M<sub>w</sub> from ∼20 past large earthquakes. For the first earthquake, we found that a positive change of TEC trends started ∼23 min before the rupture and that the anomaly reached ∼2 % of the background. These values were consistent with past events. On the other hand, medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbance activity hampered convincing detection of changes immediately before the second earthquake.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":50850,"journal":{"name":"Advances in Space Research","volume":"75 3","pages":"Pages 3150-3158"},"PeriodicalIF":2.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Advances in Space Research","FirstCategoryId":"89","ListUrlMain":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0273117724011281","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"ASTRONOMY & ASTROPHYSICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Abstract
The East Anatolian Fault in southern Turkey ruptured on 6 February 2023, causing a Mw 7.8 earthquake. Another large earthquake of Mw 7.5 occurred to the north of the first event ∼9 h later. Here we look for ionospheric precursors immediately before these earthquakes, like those found ∼40 min before the 2011 Tohoku-oki earthquake, Japan, by using the total electron content data obtained by global navigation satellite system receivers. Considering that the changes are small, we first inferred the leading times and the intensities of the anomalies using their empirical relationship with Mw from ∼20 past large earthquakes. For the first earthquake, we found that a positive change of TEC trends started ∼23 min before the rupture and that the anomaly reached ∼2 % of the background. These values were consistent with past events. On the other hand, medium-scale traveling ionospheric disturbance activity hampered convincing detection of changes immediately before the second earthquake.
期刊介绍:
The COSPAR publication Advances in Space Research (ASR) is an open journal covering all areas of space research including: space studies of the Earth''s surface, meteorology, climate, the Earth-Moon system, planets and small bodies of the solar system, upper atmospheres, ionospheres and magnetospheres of the Earth and planets including reference atmospheres, space plasmas in the solar system, astrophysics from space, materials sciences in space, fundamental physics in space, space debris, space weather, Earth observations of space phenomena, etc.
NB: Please note that manuscripts related to life sciences as related to space are no more accepted for submission to Advances in Space Research. Such manuscripts should now be submitted to the new COSPAR Journal Life Sciences in Space Research (LSSR).
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