Land cover change mitigated 20 % of the total increased evapotranspiration in tropical Lancang-Mekong River Basin during 2001–2019

Abstract

Study region

The tropical Lancang-Mekong River Basin (TLMRB), Southeast Asia.

Study focus

Accurately assessing evapotranspiration (ET) change derived from land cover changes (LCCs) is challenging in tropical regions due to the large bias in existing ET products and the difficulty in improving the ET al.gorithm for tropical ecosystems. This study quantified the LCCs-driven ET in the TLMRB from 2001 to 2019 by using scenario simulations based on an improved MOD16 algorithm. A soil moisture index was introduced to improve the soil evaporation of the original MOD16 model.

New hydrological insights for the region

The improved MOD16 algorithm showed better performance with the average Root Mean Square Error decreasing by 0.12 mm/day compared with the original MOD16 ET. The improved ET of the wet climate conditions was more significant than that under dry climate conditions. LCCs led to a 3.45 mm/yr decrease in average ET, and mitigated 20 % of increased ET. LCCs caused a net reduction of 7.44 billion m³ in ET water consumption. This decrease in ET, may intensify the surface runoff and raise the risk of extreme floods in the rain season. These findings enhance our understanding of the relationship between LCCs and ET in tropical regions, and provide valuable insights for trans-boundary collaborations and water resource management in the TLMRB.