Manreet Sohi , Patrick Loa , Basar Ozbilen , Xiatian Iogansen , Yongsung Lee , Giovanni Circella
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引用次数: 0
Abstract
The pandemic increased the prevalence of online shopping, prompting greater interest in its post-pandemic impacts. While current research often examines how online shopping replaces shopping trips, it rarely directly addresses its impact on vehicle miles traveled (VMT). This study explores how online shopping frequency affects VMT for shopping trips using data from fall 2023. By employing a Light Gradient Boosting model we predict shopping VMT and identify key factors influencing it using SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) values. Our analysis distinguishes between the impacts of online shopping for food and non-food items. The findings elucidate the impacts of online shopping and other key determinants on post-pandemic shopping VMT. These insights will inform planning and policy efforts to manage the environmental impacts of online shopping, balancing reduced passenger VMT with potential delivery VMT increases. This research lays the foundation for future studies on transportation sustainability, aiding policymakers in creating sustainable systems.
期刊介绍:
Transportation Research Part D: Transport and Environment focuses on original research exploring the environmental impacts of transportation, policy responses to these impacts, and their implications for transportation system design, planning, and management. The journal comprehensively covers the interaction between transportation and the environment, ranging from local effects on specific geographical areas to global implications such as natural resource depletion and atmospheric pollution.
We welcome research papers across all transportation modes, including maritime, air, and land transportation, assessing their environmental impacts broadly. Papers addressing both mobile aspects and transportation infrastructure are considered. The journal prioritizes empirical findings and policy responses of regulatory, planning, technical, or fiscal nature. Articles are policy-driven, accessible, and applicable to readers from diverse disciplines, emphasizing relevance and practicality. We encourage interdisciplinary submissions and welcome contributions from economically developing and advanced countries alike, reflecting our international orientation.