A Multicriteria Approach for Landslide Hazard Zonation in the Lesser Kumaun Himalaya

Abstract

The socioeconomic prosperity of a region is intricately tied to its infrastructure development, particularly the connectivity provided by highways. Preserving the economic well-being of an area demands meticulous planning and the execution of construction projects with minimal risk. Landslide hazard zonation (LHZ) is a crucial tool for assessing the likelihood of landslide occurrences in specific regions. This study delves into the LHZ of a 171.2 km² area, focusing on critical causative factors such as slope inclination and aspect, slope mass material, Land Use/Land Cover (LULC), distance from fault lines, roads, and drainage systems. The classification resulted in four distinct zones along the National Highway (NH-109) stretch from Bhowali to Almora. Notably, the moderate-hazard zone encompasses 60.4% of the area, followed by the high-hazard zone at 24.4%, the low-hazard zone at 11.9%, and the very high-hazard zone at 3.3%. To enhance the reliability of the study, 63 previously identified landslide locations were marked based on diverse sources, including field studies and landslide inventory data from the Geological Survey of India (GSI). In the validation process, 12 past landslide occurrences were situated within the very high-hazard zone, 32 in the high-hazard zone, 18 in the moderate-hazard zone, and only one in the low-hazard zone. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve yielded a commendable quality with a % area under the curve (AUC) of 71.2%. In summary, this research underscores the importance of LHZ in assessing and mitigating landslide risks along a stretch of the NH-109 corridor. The findings provide valuable insights for informed decision-making in infrastructure development and risk management, contributing to the sustainable growth and protection of the region's livelihood.