Long-Term Changes in the Relative Humidity in Poland in 1966–2020

IF 3.5 3区 地球科学 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Ewelina Krawczyk
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Abstract

The main purpose of this paper was to identify significant changes in air moisture conditions in Poland, which accompany climate warming. Meteorological data used in the research included the relative humidity (RH) values from 48 stations obtained from the Institute of Meteorology and Water Management—National Research Institute from 1966 to 2020. The monthly mean, standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation of RH from 12 PM for all months (with particular reference to the middle months of seasons—January, April, July and October) were used. Additionally, the dry weather (RH < 30%) frequency in the warm half of the year was observed. Long-term changes were found by comparing relative humidity values in three 15-year subperiods (1966–1980, 1986–2000 and 2006–2020) and the statistical significance was estimated using the Mann-Kendall test. The most considerable long-term changes were noticed in April and July, especially in the last 15-year subperiod. The statistical significance was higher, mostly in warmer months. The SD was also higher in April and July than in January and October. Hence the humidity conditions in the warmer half of the year fluctuated more and more widely. A significant decrease in the RH mean values and an increase in SDs in spring and summer impact the increasing frequency of dry weather. Relations between meteorological characteristics suggest the warming climate contributes to drying the near-surface atmosphere but also impacts intensive precipitation events or snow cover parameters. The decreasing trend of long-term relative humidity may negatively impact the environment, human health and well-being and cause serious economic losses.

Abstract Image

1966-2020年波兰相对湿度的长期变化
本文的主要目的是确定波兰空气湿度条件的显著变化,这伴随着气候变暖。研究中使用的气象数据包括1966 - 2020年气象与水管理研究所-国家科学研究院48个站点的相对湿度(RH)值。采用各月份(特别是季节中间月份- 1月、4月、7月和10月)从下午12点开始的月平均值、标准差(SD)和变异系数。此外,在一年中温暖的一半观测到干燥天气(RH < 30%)的频率。通过比较1966-1980年、1986-2000年和2006-2020年3个15年亚周期的相对湿度值,发现了长期变化,并利用Mann-Kendall检验估计了统计显著性。最显著的长期变化出现在4月和7月,特别是在最后一个15年分期间。统计显著性更高,主要是在温暖的月份。4月和7月的SD也高于1月和10月。因此,在一年中较温暖的半年,湿度条件波动越来越大。春夏季相对湿度平均值的显著降低和SDs的显著增加影响了干旱天气频率的增加。气象特征间的关系表明,气候变暖有助于近地表大气的干燥,但也会影响强降水事件或积雪参数。长期相对湿度的下降趋势可能对环境、人类健康和福祉产生负面影响,并造成严重的经济损失。
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来源期刊
International Journal of Climatology
International Journal of Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
7.50
自引率
7.70%
发文量
417
审稿时长
4 months
期刊介绍: The International Journal of Climatology aims to span the well established but rapidly growing field of climatology, through the publication of research papers, short communications, major reviews of progress and reviews of new books and reports in the area of climate science. The Journal’s main role is to stimulate and report research in climatology, from the expansive fields of the atmospheric, biophysical, engineering and social sciences. Coverage includes: Climate system science; Local to global scale climate observations and modelling; Seasonal to interannual climate prediction; Climatic variability and climate change; Synoptic, dynamic and urban climatology, hydroclimatology, human bioclimatology, ecoclimatology, dendroclimatology, palaeoclimatology, marine climatology and atmosphere-ocean interactions; Application of climatological knowledge to environmental assessment and management and economic production; Climate and society interactions
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