Global Trends in Prevalence and Future Projections of Pelvic Organ Prolapse: A 30-year Epidemiological Study.

IF 1.8 3区 医学 Q3 OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY
International Urogynecology Journal Pub Date : 2025-05-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-21 DOI:10.1007/s00192-025-06049-6
Peipei Li, Hongyun Ma, Jiao Zhang, Qiaorui Zhang
{"title":"Global Trends in Prevalence and Future Projections of Pelvic Organ Prolapse: A 30-year Epidemiological Study.","authors":"Peipei Li, Hongyun Ma, Jiao Zhang, Qiaorui Zhang","doi":"10.1007/s00192-025-06049-6","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p><strong>Introduction: </strong>Pelvic organ prolapse (POP) is a widespread disease in women. Despite its significant prevalence, there is a lack of comprehensive global studies, emphasizing the urgent need for tailored prevention and treatment approaches. This study aims to examine the global burden of POP from 1990 to 2021 and project future trends using the GBD data.</p><p><strong>Methods: </strong>Data were collected from the GBD 2021 database. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to analyze the trends and predict future burden, with age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) and years lived with disability (YLD) as key metrics.</p><p><strong>Results: </strong>In 2021, the global ASPR and age-standardized YLD rate of POP were 2769.4 (95% UI 2299.2-3298.2) and 8.5 (95% UI 4.1-16.2) per 100,000 people, respectively. Both ASPR and YLD rate decreased between 1990 and 2021. The burden of POP is highest in low-SDI regions. The global prevalence of POP was highest in the 80+ age group, while the absolute number of cases reached its peak in the 55-59 age group. By 2036, the global population of POP patients will reach 156 million. Additionally, both the ASPR and AS-YLD rates of POP will continue to decline over the next 15 years.</p><p><strong>Conclusion: </strong>While the global burden of POP decreased between 1990 and 2021, ASPRs in regions with low SDI remained high. With the gradual aging population, POP will continue to pose a significant burden on women's health and the social economy in the future. Strengthening global surveillance and prevention efforts for POP remains a critical challenge.</p>","PeriodicalId":14355,"journal":{"name":"International Urogynecology Journal","volume":" ","pages":"991-1002"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8000,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"International Urogynecology Journal","FirstCategoryId":"3","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s00192-025-06049-6","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"医学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"2025/1/21 0:00:00","PubModel":"Epub","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"OBSTETRICS & GYNECOLOGY","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

Abstract

Introduction: Pelvic organ prolapse (POP) is a widespread disease in women. Despite its significant prevalence, there is a lack of comprehensive global studies, emphasizing the urgent need for tailored prevention and treatment approaches. This study aims to examine the global burden of POP from 1990 to 2021 and project future trends using the GBD data.

Methods: Data were collected from the GBD 2021 database. A Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model was used to analyze the trends and predict future burden, with age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) and years lived with disability (YLD) as key metrics.

Results: In 2021, the global ASPR and age-standardized YLD rate of POP were 2769.4 (95% UI 2299.2-3298.2) and 8.5 (95% UI 4.1-16.2) per 100,000 people, respectively. Both ASPR and YLD rate decreased between 1990 and 2021. The burden of POP is highest in low-SDI regions. The global prevalence of POP was highest in the 80+ age group, while the absolute number of cases reached its peak in the 55-59 age group. By 2036, the global population of POP patients will reach 156 million. Additionally, both the ASPR and AS-YLD rates of POP will continue to decline over the next 15 years.

Conclusion: While the global burden of POP decreased between 1990 and 2021, ASPRs in regions with low SDI remained high. With the gradual aging population, POP will continue to pose a significant burden on women's health and the social economy in the future. Strengthening global surveillance and prevention efforts for POP remains a critical challenge.

骨盆器官脱垂的全球流行趋势和未来预测:一项30年的流行病学研究。
盆腔器官脱垂(POP)是一种广泛存在于女性中的疾病。尽管其发病率很高,但缺乏全面的全球研究,强调迫切需要有针对性的预防和治疗方法。本研究旨在研究1990年至2021年全球POP负担,并利用GBD数据预测未来趋势。方法:数据来自GBD 2021数据库。采用贝叶斯年龄-时期-队列(BAPC)模型,以年龄标准化患病率(ASPR)和残疾生活年数(YLD)为关键指标,分析趋势并预测未来负担。结果:2021年,全球POP的ASPR和年龄标准化YLD分别为2769.4 (95% UI为2299.2 ~ 3298.2)和8.5 (95% UI为4.1 ~ 16.2)/ 10万人。ASPR和YLD在1990年至2021年间均有所下降。持久性有机污染物的负担在低sdi地区最高。全球POP患病率在80岁以上年龄组最高,而病例的绝对数量在55-59岁年龄组达到高峰。到2036年,全球POP患者人数将达到1.56亿。此外,在未来15年,POP的ASPR和AS-YLD都将继续下降。结论:虽然全球POP负担在1990年至2021年间有所下降,但SDI低的地区的aspr仍然很高。随着人口逐渐老龄化,未来POP将继续对妇女健康和社会经济造成重大负担。加强全球监测和预防努力仍然是一项重大挑战。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
求助全文
约1分钟内获得全文 求助全文
来源期刊
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
22.20%
发文量
406
审稿时长
3-6 weeks
期刊介绍: The International Urogynecology Journal is the official journal of the International Urogynecological Association (IUGA).The International Urogynecology Journal has evolved in response to a perceived need amongst the clinicians, scientists, and researchers active in the field of urogynecology and pelvic floor disorders. Gynecologists, urologists, physiotherapists, nurses and basic scientists require regular means of communication within this field of pelvic floor dysfunction to express new ideas and research, and to review clinical practice in the diagnosis and treatment of women with disorders of the pelvic floor. This Journal has adopted the peer review process for all original contributions and will maintain high standards with regard to the research published therein. The clinical approach to urogynecology and pelvic floor disorders will be emphasized with each issue containing clinically relevant material that will be immediately applicable for clinical medicine. This publication covers all aspects of the field in an interdisciplinary fashion
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信