Seasonal Fluctuation in the Incidence of Congenital Hypothyroidism Across Different Temperate Zones of China.

IF 1.6 4区 医学 Q4 DEVELOPMENTAL BIOLOGY
Yongna Yao, Kui Deng, Jun Zhu, Qi Li, Liangcheng Xiang, Xuelian Yuan, Yanping Wang, Zheng Liu, Huiwen Tan, Xiaohong Li
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Abstract

Background: Seasonality in the incidence of congenital hypothyroidism (CH) has been identified in several countries and different conclusions have been drawn. The objective of this study was to examine whether this seasonality is also observable in China and how it manifests across different temperate zones.

Methods: Data on CH cases and screened neonates between January 1, 2014, and September 30, 2022, by year and season, were sourced from the Chinese Newborn Screening Information System. The overall CH incidence and incidence across different temperate zones was analyzed by using the seasonal unit root test, seasonal decomposition, and deterministic seasonal means regression model.

Results: A total of 29,259 CH cases were reported nationwide from season one of 2014 to season three of 2022. Quarterly CH incidence showed an upward time trend and significant seasonality among all zones, but with different patterns. Overall, season one was the peak period with an incidence rate of 7.09 per 10,000 neonates, whilst season two was the trough period with an incidence rate of 5.89. Subtropical, warm, and medium temperate zones had one peak period in season one, whilst the tropical zone had two peak periods in seasons one and three. In comparison, the plateau zone had a trough season in season one.

Conclusion: Our study found the quarterly CH incidence exhibited clear seasonality, temperate zone-specific patterns, and an upward time trend in China. This finding is particularly concerning given China's decline in the number of births, underscoring the urgency of allocating resources appropriately in screening programs.

中国不同温带地区先天性甲状腺功能减退症发病率的季节性波动。
背景:在一些国家,先天性甲状腺功能减退症(CH)的发病率具有季节性,并得出了不同的结论。本研究的目的是研究这种季节性在中国是否也可以观察到,以及它在不同温带地区的表现。方法:2014年1月1日至2022年9月30日期间CH病例和筛查新生儿的数据,按年份和季节从中国新生儿筛查信息系统中获取。采用季节单位根检验、季节分解和确定性季节均值回归模型,对不同温带地区的总发病率和总发病率进行了分析。结果:从2014年第一季到2022年第三季,全国共报告了29259例CH病例。各区域CH季发病率均呈上升趋势,且季节性显著,但分布格局不同。总体而言,第一季为高峰期,发病率为7.09 / 10,000,第二季为低谷期,发病率为5.89 / 10,000。亚热带、暖温带和中温带在第一季有一个高峰,热带在第一季和第三季有两个高峰。相比之下,高原地区在第一季中有低谷期。结论:本研究发现,中国CH的季度发病率具有明显的季节性和温带特征,且呈上升趋势。考虑到中国出生人数的下降,这一发现尤其令人担忧,强调了在筛查项目中合理分配资源的紧迫性。
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来源期刊
Birth Defects Research
Birth Defects Research Medicine-Embryology
CiteScore
3.60
自引率
9.50%
发文量
153
期刊介绍: The journal Birth Defects Research publishes original research and reviews in areas related to the etiology of adverse developmental and reproductive outcome. In particular the journal is devoted to the publication of original scientific research that contributes to the understanding of the biology of embryonic development and the prenatal causative factors and mechanisms leading to adverse pregnancy outcomes, namely structural and functional birth defects, pregnancy loss, postnatal functional defects in the human population, and to the identification of prenatal factors and biological mechanisms that reduce these risks. Adverse reproductive and developmental outcomes may have genetic, environmental, nutritional or epigenetic causes. Accordingly, the journal Birth Defects Research takes an integrated, multidisciplinary approach in its organization and publication strategy. The journal Birth Defects Research contains separate sections for clinical and molecular teratology, developmental and reproductive toxicology, and reviews in developmental biology to acknowledge and accommodate the integrative nature of research in this field. Each section has a dedicated editor who is a leader in his/her field and who has full editorial authority in his/her area.
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